Race 6B

central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Marissa Golison 26.1% 22.8% 17.1% 13.6% 9.7% 5.6% 3.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Mary Buhl 7.5% 6.4% 9.0% 9.4% 11.1% 13.8% 12.7% 11.4% 10.1% 7.4% 1.2%
Christian Geary 14.7% 15.1% 16.9% 13.1% 14.0% 10.6% 6.8% 5.1% 3.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Emma Ferris 16.3% 16.1% 16.1% 15.2% 13.9% 8.4% 7.5% 3.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Chris Myers 12.5% 12.7% 11.8% 12.6% 12.2% 11.3% 9.9% 8.3% 5.4% 3.2% 0.1%
Andrew Grasso 3.4% 4.0% 5.8% 5.0% 6.7% 10.6% 10.0% 14.6% 16.9% 16.3% 6.7%
Courtney Williams 5.8% 5.7% 6.2% 7.9% 7.8% 11.1% 12.7% 14.7% 12.5% 12.3% 3.3%
Jennifer Kempton 6.2% 6.9% 7.5% 9.6% 9.9% 10.2% 13.7% 10.7% 14.2% 8.8% 2.3%
James Rush 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 1.1% 1.4% 2.0% 2.9% 3.9% 6.1% 12.3% 67.7%
Trevor VonKaenel 4.9% 6.4% 5.2% 7.7% 8.5% 10.4% 12.1% 14.8% 13.5% 12.4% 4.1%
Siobhan Ryan 1.9% 2.8% 3.6% 4.8% 4.8% 6.0% 8.6% 11.3% 15.6% 26.2% 14.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.