Race 7B

central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Marissa Golison 26.2% 22.4% 16.8% 14.6% 9.6% 6.2% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Buhl 6.7% 7.6% 9.4% 9.1% 12.9% 11.8% 13.3% 12.7% 8.6% 6.3% 1.6%
Christian Geary 14.6% 15.7% 16.3% 14.5% 13.4% 9.9% 7.8% 4.5% 2.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Jennifer Kempton 5.1% 5.5% 6.1% 8.2% 9.6% 10.8% 14.6% 15.6% 12.9% 8.5% 3.1%
Chris Myers 12.4% 11.8% 12.4% 13.0% 13.2% 12.0% 9.6% 6.7% 5.9% 2.6% 0.4%
Andrew Grasso 3.2% 4.2% 6.1% 5.4% 7.1% 10.1% 11.2% 13.7% 16.3% 16.6% 6.1%
Emma Ferris 20.1% 18.9% 15.7% 13.5% 10.9% 10.0% 5.4% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
William Joumas 5.2% 4.9% 6.9% 9.1% 8.6% 11.3% 11.0% 14.4% 12.0% 12.4% 4.2%
Courtney Williams 4.3% 5.4% 5.9% 7.0% 8.5% 9.6% 12.1% 13.9% 16.3% 11.1% 5.9%
James Rush 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 3.1% 2.4% 4.2% 7.1% 13.0% 65.7%
Siobhan Ryan 1.8% 2.9% 3.6% 4.2% 5.0% 5.2% 10.1% 10.1% 16.2% 28.1% 12.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.