Race 8B

central-fall-2

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Chris Myers 9.8% 11.7% 12.8% 13.7% 13.9% 12.4% 10.2% 9.7% 3.6% 1.9% 0.3%
Andrew Grasso 4.6% 3.4% 4.7% 6.0% 7.9% 9.2% 10.0% 13.2% 18.3% 16.7% 6.0%
Christian Geary 15.2% 15.8% 15.6% 14.6% 12.2% 10.1% 8.8% 4.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Marissa Golison 26.0% 20.9% 18.8% 13.1% 9.1% 6.0% 3.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Jennifer Kempton 6.2% 7.3% 7.7% 7.6% 10.0% 11.7% 11.2% 12.6% 14.1% 8.2% 3.4%
Emma Ferris 18.3% 17.9% 14.8% 14.4% 11.9% 8.7% 6.8% 4.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
James Rush 0.7% 0.8% 1.6% 1.9% 1.9% 2.2% 1.6% 3.7% 7.6% 12.5% 65.5%
William Joumas 4.7% 5.9% 5.4% 7.9% 9.2% 11.7% 12.3% 13.0% 13.1% 13.2% 3.6%
Courtney Williams 4.9% 5.0% 5.1% 6.9% 8.1% 9.4% 13.8% 15.1% 13.8% 12.8% 5.1%
Siobhan Ryan 2.3% 3.0% 3.3% 3.8% 4.8% 5.9% 8.6% 11.0% 15.3% 27.4% 14.6%
Mary Buhl 7.3% 8.3% 10.2% 10.1% 11.0% 12.7% 13.0% 10.9% 9.6% 5.6% 1.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.