Race 9B

central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christian Geary 14.4% 17.2% 14.9% 14.8% 14.0% 10.9% 7.6% 4.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Marissa Golison 28.5% 21.9% 16.8% 12.3% 9.4% 5.4% 3.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Emma Ferris 15.8% 16.3% 17.3% 14.7% 11.5% 10.8% 7.3% 4.0% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrew Grasso 3.0% 4.6% 4.0% 6.1% 6.7% 8.3% 10.4% 15.0% 18.3% 16.3% 7.3%
Mary Buhl 7.3% 7.3% 9.8% 9.7% 10.3% 12.5% 13.4% 11.4% 9.5% 7.6% 1.2%
William Joumas 4.5% 5.5% 6.3% 6.9% 8.2% 10.6% 12.6% 15.1% 13.5% 12.7% 4.1%
Jennifer Kempton 6.4% 6.6% 8.0% 9.8% 10.1% 12.4% 12.8% 12.2% 11.7% 7.7% 2.3%
Chris Myers 12.4% 12.3% 13.3% 13.6% 13.5% 10.6% 10.4% 6.6% 5.3% 1.8% 0.2%
Courtney Williams 4.8% 5.2% 5.5% 6.4% 9.5% 10.5% 11.4% 14.6% 15.3% 11.8% 5.0%
Siobhan Ryan 2.4% 2.6% 3.0% 4.4% 5.1% 5.8% 7.4% 11.4% 15.9% 28.7% 13.3%
James Rush 0.5% 0.5% 1.1% 1.3% 1.7% 2.2% 2.8% 4.0% 6.5% 12.9% 66.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.