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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology0.62+1.48vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.16-0.01vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.19-0.05vs Predicted
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4Mercyhurst University-0.76+0.23vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-0.70-0.90vs Predicted
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6Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.83-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48Rochester Institute of Technology0.6226.7%1st Place
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1.99Queen's University1.1641.3%1st Place
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2.95Syracuse University0.1917.0%1st Place
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4.23Mercyhurst University-0.765.9%1st Place
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4.1Penn State University-0.707.0%1st Place
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5.25Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.832.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 26.7% | 28.5% | 22.8% | 15.2% | 5.9% | 0.9% |
| James Fair | 41.3% | 30.4% | 18.8% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexa Whitman | 17.0% | 21.5% | 26.9% | 20.9% | 11.5% | 2.2% |
| Jacob Fritts | 5.9% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 22.0% | 31.3% | 19.6% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 7.0% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 24.1% | 29.8% | 16.2% |
| Serena Aumick | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 10.5% | 19.4% | 60.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.