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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+4.36vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.61+1.40vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.78+2.41vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.51-0.23vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.76+0.33vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College3.83-0.80vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.50-1.23vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.50-2.18vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.61-1.06vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.80-2.64vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.29-0.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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3.4College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
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5.41College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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3.77Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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5.33Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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5.2Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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5.77U. S. Naval Academy3.500.1%1st Place
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5.82Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.94University of Wisconsin2.610.0%1st Place
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7.36University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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10.63Northwestern University0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Magill | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 0.2% |
| Allison Blecher | 23.2% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Heausler | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Bolger | 18.6% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 0.3% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 0.3% |
| Christina Pryne | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 1.1% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 0.7% |
| Christine Porter | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 17.1% | 31.6% | 7.7% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 18.1% | 24.9% | 3.6% |
| Sarah Hughes | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 6.3% | 86.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.