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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin4.10+0.47vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas1.41+3.21vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.31+2.31vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University2.37-0.68vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University1.25+0.56vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.25+2.94vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.56-0.02vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota0.20-0.14vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University0.69-2.31vs Predicted
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11University of Illinois0.54-3.96vs Predicted
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12University of Chicago-0.15-3.21vs Predicted
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13Denison University-1.36-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.47University of Wisconsin4.100.7%1st Place
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5.21University of Saint Thomas1.410.0%1st Place
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5.31University of Michigan1.310.1%1st Place
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3.32Northwestern University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.56Western Michigan University1.250.0%1st Place
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8.94University of Notre Dame-0.250.0%1st Place
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6.98Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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7.86University of Minnesota0.200.0%1st Place
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6.69Ohio State University0.690.0%1st Place
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7.04University of Illinois0.540.0%1st Place
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8.79University of Chicago-0.150.0%1st Place
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10.82Denison University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 66.9% | 23.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wilson | 3.4% | 9.5% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Barbour | 5.3% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 10.9% | 27.3% | 23.2% | 16.2% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Trost | 3.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| John O'Brien | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 23.9% | 14.2% |
| Steven Catlin | 2.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Joe Lund | 1.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 5.3% |
| Anthony Julian | 2.3% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Megan Dawson | 1.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 2.1% |
| Miles Lubin | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 22.4% | 12.0% |
| Blair Cathcart | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 14.3% | 61.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.