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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+6.13vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.72+2.09vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.41+1.64vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+3.14vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.81+1.38vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University2.27-0.93vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.99+2.50vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.40-1.10vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.98+1.22vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.95-0.29vs Predicted
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11University of Washington1.83-4.73vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.82-1.93vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-2.46vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-0.59-0.23vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-3.70vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon-0.40-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.13University of California at Santa Barbara1.676.8%1st Place
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4.09Stanford University2.7218.4%1st Place
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4.64University of Hawaii2.4115.0%1st Place
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7.14California Poly Maritime Academy1.925.2%1st Place
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6.38Western Washington University1.818.2%1st Place
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5.07San Diego State University2.2712.7%1st Place
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9.5Arizona State University0.993.1%1st Place
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6.9University of Southern California1.407.2%1st Place
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10.22University of California at Berkeley0.983.1%1st Place
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9.71University of California at San Diego0.952.9%1st Place
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6.27University of Washington1.838.6%1st Place
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10.07California State University Channel Islands0.822.8%1st Place
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10.54University of California at Santa Cruz0.912.8%1st Place
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13.77Santa Clara University-0.590.8%1st Place
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11.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.351.6%1st Place
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13.25University of Oregon-0.400.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Boeger | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 18.4% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 15.0% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Leif Hauge | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Noah Nyenhuis | 12.7% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Juan Casal | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Luke Harris | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 3.9% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
| Benjamin Stone | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 3.5% |
| Colin Olson | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 5.3% |
| Paul Trudell | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 19.1% | 41.8% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 8.1% |
| Rowan Clinch | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 20.2% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.