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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81+3.16vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.96+4.65vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.29+2.66vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University2.71+0.54vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.13-1.48vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.08+3.56vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.84+3.29vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.20+1.00vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut1.72-1.65vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.03-0.20vs Predicted
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11Bates College0.74-0.44vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.12-2.59vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-1.05vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.71-3.41vs Predicted
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15Amherst College1.69-7.39vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-1.67-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.2%1st Place
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6.65Roger Williams University1.960.1%1st Place
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5.66Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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4.54Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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3.52Boston University3.130.2%1st Place
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9.56University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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10.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.840.0%1st Place
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9.0Harvard University1.200.0%1st Place
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7.35University of Connecticut1.720.1%1st Place
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9.8Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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10.56Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
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9.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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11.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
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10.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.710.0%1st Place
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7.61Amherst College1.690.1%1st Place
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15.35Bentley University-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Ford | 17.4% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Jensen | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John McGlynn | 13.7% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 22.2% | 20.0% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James McAndrew | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 1.4% |
| Jeremy Kalas | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Clarida | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Presti | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Colin Henderson | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 1.5% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 3.0% |
| Ellen Kintz | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 1.6% |
| Nicholaus Pehr | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 15.4% | 25.0% | 6.7% |
| Marina Crowe | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 2.6% |
| Johannes Raatz | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Craig Timoney | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 8.1% | 80.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.