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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.79+3.57vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina-0.13+7.61vs Predicted
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3Florida Institute of Technology0.73+3.79vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.77+4.09vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15+3.81vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.19+4.29vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.39-2.83vs Predicted
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8Duke University0.06+0.65vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-1.51+3.80vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-2.57vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.51+1.88vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-0.74-0.65vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.02-6.47vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.59-9.43vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University2.10-11.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57University of California at Los Angeles1.7912.8%1st Place
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9.61University of North Carolina-0.132.0%1st Place
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6.79Florida Institute of Technology0.736.7%1st Place
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8.09North Carolina State University0.773.5%1st Place
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8.81University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.153.1%1st Place
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10.29University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.191.8%1st Place
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4.17Jacksonville University1.3915.2%1st Place
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8.65Duke University0.063.3%1st Place
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12.8Embry-Riddle University-1.510.4%1st Place
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7.43Georgia Institute of Technology0.415.1%1st Place
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12.88University of Georgia-1.510.8%1st Place
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11.35Northwestern University-0.741.1%1st Place
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6.53University of South Florida1.027.2%1st Place
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4.57Old Dominion University1.5914.0%1st Place
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3.46Jacksonville University2.1022.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Janov | 12.8% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Cole McGee | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 3.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Bailey | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Patin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 10.8% | 5.7% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 15.2% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 22.6% | 36.3% |
| Roberto Martelli | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Trimble | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 22.8% | 38.5% |
| Dexter Gormley | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 19.1% | 12.3% |
| Jordan Byrd | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Diogo Silva | 14.0% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 22.9% | 20.5% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.