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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.03+8.50vs Predicted
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2Amherst College1.69+5.44vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut1.72+4.42vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81+0.34vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University2.71-0.45vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.96+0.78vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.20+2.17vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.13-4.59vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.29-3.33vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.71+0.76vs Predicted
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11Bates College0.74-0.49vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.08-2.52vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.84-2.75vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.12-4.73vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-2.87vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-1.67-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.5Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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7.44Amherst College1.690.1%1st Place
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7.42University of Connecticut1.720.1%1st Place
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4.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.1%1st Place
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4.55Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.78Roger Williams University1.960.1%1st Place
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9.17Harvard University1.200.0%1st Place
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3.41Boston University3.130.2%1st Place
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5.67Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.710.0%1st Place
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10.51Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
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9.48University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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10.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.840.0%1st Place
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9.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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12.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
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15.34Bentley University-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Henderson | 1.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 0.8% |
| Johannes Raatz | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Presti | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Ford | 14.5% | 16.9% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John McGlynn | 14.5% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Clarida | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 0.8% |
| Brendan Cook | 24.6% | 19.0% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Marina Crowe | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 3.5% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 2.8% |
| James McAndrew | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 1.0% |
| Jeremy Kalas | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 1.9% |
| Ellen Kintz | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 1.3% |
| Nicholaus Pehr | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 26.5% | 7.7% |
| Craig Timoney | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 80.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.