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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.10+2.48vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.59+2.72vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.77+5.15vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.02+2.61vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.79-0.57vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15+2.73vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+0.50vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.39-3.94vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology0.73-2.15vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-0.13-0.40vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.19-0.99vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-1.51+0.89vs Predicted
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13Duke University0.06-4.32vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.51-1.08vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University-0.74-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48Jacksonville University2.1021.9%1st Place
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4.72Old Dominion University1.5912.8%1st Place
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8.15North Carolina State University0.773.4%1st Place
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6.61University of South Florida1.025.9%1st Place
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4.43University of California at Los Angeles1.7914.1%1st Place
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8.73University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.153.2%1st Place
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7.5Georgia Institute of Technology0.415.8%1st Place
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4.06Jacksonville University1.3917.4%1st Place
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6.85Florida Institute of Technology0.736.7%1st Place
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9.6University of North Carolina-0.131.8%1st Place
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10.01University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.191.8%1st Place
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12.89University of Georgia-1.510.4%1st Place
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8.68Duke University0.063.0%1st Place
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12.92Embry-Riddle University-1.510.5%1st Place
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11.36Northwestern University-0.741.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 21.9% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 12.8% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Jordan Byrd | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 14.1% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Patin | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Roberto Martelli | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 17.4% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| John Cole McGee | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 2.9% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 5.4% |
| Samuel Trimble | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 23.8% | 36.9% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 23.4% | 37.2% |
| Dexter Gormley | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 18.5% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.