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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.59+3.65vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.10+1.47vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.39+1.12vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology0.73+2.89vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.79-0.49vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.02+0.52vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University0.77+1.02vs Predicted
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8Duke University0.06+0.77vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-1.36vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.19+0.01vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.51+1.91vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15-3.20vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-0.74-1.64vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.51-1.24vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-0.13-5.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65Old Dominion University1.5914.1%1st Place
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3.47Jacksonville University2.1022.1%1st Place
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4.12Jacksonville University1.3916.2%1st Place
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6.89Florida Institute of Technology0.735.7%1st Place
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4.51University of California at Los Angeles1.7914.0%1st Place
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6.52University of South Florida1.026.6%1st Place
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8.02North Carolina State University0.774.1%1st Place
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8.77Duke University0.063.4%1st Place
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7.64Georgia Institute of Technology0.414.5%1st Place
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10.01University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.192.1%1st Place
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12.91University of Georgia-1.510.4%1st Place
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8.8University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.152.7%1st Place
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11.36Northwestern University-0.741.4%1st Place
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12.76Embry-Riddle University-1.510.8%1st Place
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9.58University of North Carolina-0.132.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Silva | 14.1% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 22.1% | 19.0% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 16.2% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Grant Janov | 14.0% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Harrison Bailey | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Roberto Martelli | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 5.0% |
| Samuel Trimble | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 20.7% | 39.9% |
| Nicholas Patin | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Dexter Gormley | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 17.3% | 18.6% | 12.6% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 22.8% | 34.9% |
| John Cole McGee | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.