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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wesleyan University2.71+3.43vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.03+7.57vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.13+0.50vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81+0.33vs Predicted
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5Amherst College1.69+2.54vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.20+3.22vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.96-0.21vs Predicted
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8Bates College0.74+2.51vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.71+1.61vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.29-4.34vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.84-0.76vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.12-2.57vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.08-3.53vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.72-6.67vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-1.67+0.26vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.57Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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3.5Boston University3.130.2%1st Place
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4.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.2%1st Place
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7.54Amherst College1.690.1%1st Place
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9.22Harvard University1.200.0%1st Place
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6.79Roger Williams University1.960.1%1st Place
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10.51Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
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10.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.710.0%1st Place
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5.66Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.840.0%1st Place
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9.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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9.47University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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7.33University of Connecticut1.720.1%1st Place
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15.26Bentley University-1.670.0%1st Place
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12.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John McGlynn | 14.6% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Henderson | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 1.2% |
| Brendan Cook | 23.0% | 19.0% | 16.4% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Ford | 16.2% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Johannes Raatz | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Clarida | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 0.8% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 2.3% |
| Marina Crowe | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 3.2% |
| Christopher Jensen | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Kalas | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 1.9% |
| Ellen Kintz | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 0.8% |
| James McAndrew | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Presti | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Craig Timoney | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 7.3% | 80.8% |
| Nicholaus Pehr | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 16.5% | 24.2% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.