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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.59+3.71vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.77+5.95vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.02+3.56vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.79+0.47vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.06+3.74vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology0.73+0.76vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.10-3.53vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.39-3.93vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-1.37vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.190.00vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15-2.17vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-0.74-0.72vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.51-0.13vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-1.51-1.03vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-0.13-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Old Dominion University1.5912.2%1st Place
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7.95North Carolina State University0.774.5%1st Place
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6.56University of South Florida1.026.2%1st Place
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4.47University of California at Los Angeles1.7914.2%1st Place
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8.74Duke University0.062.9%1st Place
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6.76Florida Institute of Technology0.736.0%1st Place
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3.47Jacksonville University2.1021.2%1st Place
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4.07Jacksonville University1.3917.2%1st Place
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7.63Georgia Institute of Technology0.415.3%1st Place
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10.0University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.192.1%1st Place
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8.83University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.153.2%1st Place
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11.28Northwestern University-0.741.3%1st Place
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12.87Embry-Riddle University-1.510.4%1st Place
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12.97University of Georgia-1.510.5%1st Place
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9.7University of North Carolina-0.132.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Silva | 12.2% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Jordan Byrd | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Grant Janov | 14.2% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Brendan Smucker | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Owen Bannasch | 21.2% | 19.1% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 17.2% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Martelli | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 9.8% | 5.1% |
| Nicholas Patin | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Dexter Gormley | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 17.9% | 18.8% | 12.4% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 23.1% | 35.6% |
| Samuel Trimble | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 21.8% | 39.6% |
| John Cole McGee | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.