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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.55+3.49vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.47+2.79vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.51+1.66vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.59+3.68vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University1.87+1.59vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.06+0.07vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.67+3.49vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-0.49+5.37vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.88-2.51vs Predicted
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10Bates College0.80+0.10vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.76-0.89vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-2.82vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.54-5.36vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.56-6.51vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.21-2.07vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.66-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Boston University2.550.2%1st Place
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4.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.470.1%1st Place
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4.66Roger Williams University2.510.2%1st Place
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7.68Harvard University1.590.0%1st Place
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6.59Wesleyan University1.870.1%1st Place
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6.07Northeastern University2.060.1%1st Place
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10.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.670.0%1st Place
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13.37Amherst College-0.490.0%1st Place
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6.49Salve Regina University1.880.1%1st Place
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10.1Bates College0.800.0%1st Place
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10.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.760.0%1st Place
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9.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.080.0%1st Place
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7.64University of Rhode Island1.540.0%1st Place
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7.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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12.93Bentley University-0.210.0%1st Place
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13.91University of Connecticut-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Fowler | 16.3% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Livernois | 14.4% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 15.9% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ansel Duff | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Baker | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Orchardo | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Cavoores | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 3.5% |
| Alex Dion | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 21.1% | 30.7% |
| James Goodson | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ali Carley | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Beckett Colson | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 2.3% |
| David Rodriguez Fuentes | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Alex Davis | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Odegard | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Paige Burns | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 23.5% | 20.6% |
| Andrew Silhavy | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 12.2% | 22.8% | 38.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.