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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.39+3.02vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.59+2.55vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.79+1.43vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.10-0.75vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.77+2.84vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.02+0.43vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15+1.56vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology0.73-1.39vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-1.70vs Predicted
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10Duke University0.06-1.38vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-0.13-1.63vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-0.74-1.18vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48-0.02vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.51-1.47vs Predicted
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15University of Georgia-1.51-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02Jacksonville University1.3916.8%1st Place
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4.55Old Dominion University1.5912.8%1st Place
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4.43University of California at Los Angeles1.7914.1%1st Place
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3.25Jacksonville University2.1024.6%1st Place
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7.84North Carolina State University0.773.1%1st Place
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6.43University of South Florida1.026.9%1st Place
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8.56University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.153.1%1st Place
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6.61Florida Institute of Technology0.736.3%1st Place
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7.3Georgia Institute of Technology0.414.2%1st Place
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8.62Duke University0.063.0%1st Place
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9.37University of North Carolina-0.132.1%1st Place
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10.82Northwestern University-0.741.7%1st Place
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12.98University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.480.2%1st Place
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12.53Embry-Riddle University-1.510.4%1st Place
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12.69University of Georgia-1.510.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Gurnell | 16.8% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 12.8% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 14.1% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 24.6% | 20.9% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Byrd | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Patin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Brendan Smucker | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Roberto Martelli | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| John Cole McGee | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Dexter Gormley | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 7.1% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 23.4% | 34.7% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 18.1% | 23.4% | 24.9% |
| Samuel Trimble | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 16.4% | 23.8% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.