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📊 Prediction Accuracy
86.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.39+2.96vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.10+1.41vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.59+1.49vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.79+0.35vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.02+1.48vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology0.73+0.71vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University0.77+0.99vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-0.74vs Predicted
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9Duke University0.06-0.44vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-0.13-0.68vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-0.74-0.03vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-1.51+0.61vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48-0.04vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.51-1.60vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15-6.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96Jacksonville University1.3917.5%1st Place
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3.41Jacksonville University2.1022.5%1st Place
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4.49Old Dominion University1.5914.1%1st Place
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4.35University of California at Los Angeles1.7914.3%1st Place
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6.48University of South Florida1.026.6%1st Place
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6.71Florida Institute of Technology0.735.7%1st Place
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7.99North Carolina State University0.773.9%1st Place
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7.26Georgia Institute of Technology0.414.6%1st Place
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8.56Duke University0.062.8%1st Place
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9.32University of North Carolina-0.131.8%1st Place
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10.97Northwestern University-0.741.1%1st Place
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12.61University of Georgia-1.510.7%1st Place
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12.96University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.480.4%1st Place
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12.4Embry-Riddle University-1.510.5%1st Place
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8.52University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.153.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Gurnell | 17.5% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 22.5% | 20.0% | 16.7% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 14.1% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 14.3% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Harrison Bailey | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Roberto Martelli | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| John Cole McGee | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Dexter Gormley | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 17.9% | 15.0% | 7.0% |
| Samuel Trimble | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 24.0% | 26.9% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 21.9% | 37.1% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 16.6% | 22.6% | 25.1% |
| Nicholas Patin | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.