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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.47+3.74vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+7.07vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.51+1.72vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.80+6.21vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.88+1.56vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.54+1.73vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.56+0.72vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.06-2.11vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University1.87-2.47vs Predicted
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10Amherst College-0.49+3.50vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.59-3.51vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.67-1.57vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.76-2.90vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.66-0.27vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.21-2.03vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.55-11.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.470.1%1st Place
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9.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.080.0%1st Place
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4.72Roger Williams University2.510.2%1st Place
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10.21Bates College0.800.0%1st Place
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6.56Salve Regina University1.880.1%1st Place
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7.73University of Rhode Island1.540.0%1st Place
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7.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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5.89Northeastern University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.53Wesleyan University1.870.1%1st Place
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13.5Amherst College-0.490.0%1st Place
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7.49Harvard University1.590.1%1st Place
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10.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.670.0%1st Place
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10.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.760.0%1st Place
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13.73University of Connecticut-0.660.0%1st Place
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12.97Bentley University-0.210.0%1st Place
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4.62Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Livernois | 14.3% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Rodriguez Fuentes | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Scott Booth | 15.5% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ali Carley | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 2.9% |
| James Goodson | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Davis | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Odegard | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Luke Orchardo | 9.7% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Baker | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Alex Dion | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 24.1% | 30.6% |
| Ansel Duff | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| John Cavoores | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 8.7% | 3.6% |
| Beckett Colson | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 2.8% |
| Andrew Silhavy | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 14.5% | 19.2% | 36.9% |
| Paige Burns | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 18.8% | 20.6% | 21.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 14.9% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.