← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University1.59+3.55vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Los Angeles1.79+2.39vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University2.10+0.41vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida1.02+2.42vs Predicted
-
5Duke University0.06+3.60vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15+2.57vs Predicted
-
7Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+0.53vs Predicted
-
8Florida Institute of Technology0.73-1.29vs Predicted
-
9Jacksonville University1.39-4.90vs Predicted
-
10North Carolina State University0.77-2.19vs Predicted
-
11University of North Carolina-0.05-1.89vs Predicted
-
12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48+0.89vs Predicted
-
13Embry-Riddle University-1.51-0.46vs Predicted
-
14University of Georgia-1.51-1.46vs Predicted
-
15Northwestern University-0.74-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.55Old Dominion University1.5913.1%1st Place
-
4.39University of California at Los Angeles1.7913.8%1st Place
-
3.41Jacksonville University2.1022.4%1st Place
-
6.42University of South Florida1.026.6%1st Place
-
8.6Duke University0.063.1%1st Place
-
8.57University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.153.5%1st Place
-
7.53Georgia Institute of Technology0.414.5%1st Place
-
6.71Florida Institute of Technology0.736.0%1st Place
-
4.1Jacksonville University1.3916.7%1st Place
-
7.81North Carolina State University0.774.0%1st Place
-
9.11University of North Carolina-0.052.3%1st Place
-
12.89University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.480.9%1st Place
-
12.54Embry-Riddle University-1.510.6%1st Place
-
12.54University of Georgia-1.510.8%1st Place
-
10.82Northwestern University-0.741.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Silva | 13.1% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 13.8% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 22.4% | 20.0% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Patin | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Roberto Martelli | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 16.7% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Kathleen Hale | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 21.8% | 35.9% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 16.2% | 25.1% | 24.5% |
| Samuel Trimble | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 16.4% | 23.8% | 28.6% |
| Dexter Gormley | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.