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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.47+3.71vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.56+5.49vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.55+1.60vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.88+2.73vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.59+2.55vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.54+1.77vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.51-2.26vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.06-2.15vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.76+1.08vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University1.87-3.36vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-1.87vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.67-1.56vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-0.21-0.16vs Predicted
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14Bates College0.80-4.01vs Predicted
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15Amherst College-0.49-1.46vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.66-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.470.1%1st Place
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7.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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4.6Boston University2.550.2%1st Place
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6.73Salve Regina University1.880.1%1st Place
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7.55Harvard University1.590.1%1st Place
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7.77University of Rhode Island1.540.0%1st Place
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4.74Roger Williams University2.510.2%1st Place
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5.85Northeastern University2.060.1%1st Place
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10.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.760.0%1st Place
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6.64Wesleyan University1.870.1%1st Place
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9.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.080.0%1st Place
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10.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.670.0%1st Place
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12.84Bentley University-0.210.0%1st Place
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9.99Bates College0.800.0%1st Place
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13.54Amherst College-0.490.0%1st Place
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13.89University of Connecticut-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Livernois | 14.4% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Odegard | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Conor Fowler | 16.0% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Goodson | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ansel Duff | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Alex Davis | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Scott Booth | 16.1% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Orchardo | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Beckett Colson | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Brooke Baker | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| David Rodriguez Fuentes | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| John Cavoores | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 4.1% |
| Paige Burns | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 16.4% | 22.7% | 18.7% |
| Ali Carley | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Alex Dion | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 24.9% | 30.4% |
| Andrew Silhavy | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 13.3% | 22.2% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.