← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University2.10+2.38vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University1.59+2.48vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles1.79+1.39vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University0.77+3.87vs Predicted
-
5Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+2.40vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University1.39-2.08vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida1.02-0.51vs Predicted
-
8University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15+0.68vs Predicted
-
9Florida Institute of Technology0.73-2.43vs Predicted
-
10University of Georgia-1.51+2.64vs Predicted
-
11University of North Carolina-0.05-1.82vs Predicted
-
12Northwestern University-0.74-1.06vs Predicted
-
13Duke University0.06-4.38vs Predicted
-
14Embry-Riddle University-1.51-1.46vs Predicted
-
15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.38Jacksonville University2.1023.2%1st Place
-
4.48Old Dominion University1.5913.9%1st Place
-
4.39University of California at Los Angeles1.7914.9%1st Place
-
7.87North Carolina State University0.774.2%1st Place
-
7.4Georgia Institute of Technology0.414.0%1st Place
-
3.92Jacksonville University1.3916.4%1st Place
-
6.49University of South Florida1.026.8%1st Place
-
8.68University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.152.6%1st Place
-
6.57Florida Institute of Technology0.736.2%1st Place
-
12.64University of Georgia-1.510.4%1st Place
-
9.18University of North Carolina-0.051.7%1st Place
-
10.94Northwestern University-0.741.3%1st Place
-
8.62Duke University0.063.5%1st Place
-
12.54Embry-Riddle University-1.510.5%1st Place
-
12.89University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.480.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 23.2% | 19.9% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 13.9% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 14.9% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Roberto Martelli | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 16.4% | 16.8% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Patin | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Brendan Smucker | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Trimble | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 15.8% | 23.1% | 28.5% |
| Kathleen Hale | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Dexter Gormley | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 15.5% | 19.0% | 15.6% | 6.6% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 22.7% | 27.0% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 14.1% | 23.2% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.