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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.39+3.02vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.02+4.49vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.79+1.35vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.10-0.62vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.77+2.79vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.59-1.46vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology0.73-0.37vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-0.59vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15-0.33vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48+3.03vs Predicted
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11Duke University0.06-2.41vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-0.05-2.90vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.51-0.52vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-1.51-1.28vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University-0.74-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02Jacksonville University1.3915.7%1st Place
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6.49University of South Florida1.026.7%1st Place
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4.35University of California at Los Angeles1.7914.2%1st Place
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3.38Jacksonville University2.1024.3%1st Place
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7.79North Carolina State University0.774.7%1st Place
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4.54Old Dominion University1.5912.5%1st Place
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6.63Florida Institute of Technology0.737.2%1st Place
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7.41Georgia Institute of Technology0.413.9%1st Place
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8.67University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.152.9%1st Place
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13.03University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.480.4%1st Place
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8.59Duke University0.062.7%1st Place
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9.1University of North Carolina-0.052.5%1st Place
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12.48Embry-Riddle University-1.510.8%1st Place
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12.72University of Georgia-1.510.4%1st Place
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10.8Northwestern University-0.741.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Gurnell | 15.7% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 14.2% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 24.3% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Diogo Silva | 12.5% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Roberto Martelli | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Patin | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 14.5% | 23.4% | 36.4% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Kathleen Hale | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 17.8% | 24.1% | 24.4% |
| Samuel Trimble | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 16.8% | 23.1% | 29.2% |
| Dexter Gormley | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 16.6% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.