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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.47+3.72vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.51+2.67vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.88+3.52vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+5.32vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.76+5.16vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.55-1.33vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.06-0.97vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University1.87-1.54vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.59-1.57vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.56-2.30vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.54-3.33vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.67-1.54vs Predicted
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13Bates College0.80-3.01vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-0.21-1.26vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.66-1.10vs Predicted
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16Amherst College-0.49-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.470.2%1st Place
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4.67Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.52Salve Regina University1.880.1%1st Place
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9.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.080.0%1st Place
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10.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.760.0%1st Place
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4.67Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.03Northeastern University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.46Wesleyan University1.870.1%1st Place
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7.43Harvard University1.590.1%1st Place
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7.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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7.67University of Rhode Island1.540.1%1st Place
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10.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.670.0%1st Place
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9.99Bates College0.800.0%1st Place
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12.74Bentley University-0.210.0%1st Place
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13.9University of Connecticut-0.660.0%1st Place
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13.56Amherst College-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Livernois | 15.5% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 14.9% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Goodson | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| David Rodriguez Fuentes | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Beckett Colson | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 1.9% |
| Conor Fowler | 14.7% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Orchardo | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Baker | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ansel Duff | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Odegard | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Alex Davis | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| John Cavoores | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 3.7% |
| Ali Carley | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 2.4% |
| Paige Burns | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 18.4% | 18.3% | 19.5% |
| Andrew Silhavy | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 13.0% | 21.9% | 39.3% |
| Alex Dion | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 9.1% | 15.4% | 22.1% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.