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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+2.13vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.58+2.90vs Predicted
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3Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+2.62vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.48+0.26vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.75-0.13vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.53-2.59vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.36-1.84vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21+1.19vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-1.94+2.07vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-2.55+2.41vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.03+0.36vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-2.12-0.53vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.67-2.65vs Predicted
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14Duke University-1.61-3.49vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-2.19-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13Jacksonville University1.7023.8%1st Place
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4.9Hampton University0.589.8%1st Place
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5.62Florida Institute of Technology-0.297.5%1st Place
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4.26University of California at Los Angeles1.4813.8%1st Place
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4.87Jacksonville University0.7510.5%1st Place
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3.41North Carolina State University1.5321.1%1st Place
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5.16University of South Florida0.367.0%1st Place
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9.19University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.211.4%1st Place
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11.07Georgia Institute of Technology-1.940.4%1st Place
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12.41University of Georgia-2.550.5%1st Place
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11.36University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.030.8%1st Place
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11.47Northwestern University-2.120.7%1st Place
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10.35Embry-Riddle University-1.671.2%1st Place
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10.51Duke University-1.611.0%1st Place
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12.29University of North Carolina-2.190.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 23.8% | 22.1% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 13.8% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pappas | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 21.1% | 19.1% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 7.0% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| James Elder | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 8.9% |
| Emma Pope | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 19.1% | 26.2% |
| Sydney Mitchell | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 13.3% |
| Rachel Spahn | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 13.5% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 4.6% |
| William Robertson | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 5.5% |
| Matthias Pietrus | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.