← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin4.10+0.44vs Predicted
-
2University of Saint Thomas1.41+3.20vs Predicted
-
3University of Minnesota0.20+4.89vs Predicted
-
4University of Michigan1.31+1.36vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University2.37-1.65vs Predicted
-
7Western Michigan University1.25-1.50vs Predicted
-
8Ohio State University0.69-1.31vs Predicted
-
9Marquette University0.56-2.00vs Predicted
-
10University of Notre Dame-0.25-1.16vs Predicted
-
11University of Illinois0.54-3.91vs Predicted
-
12University of Chicago-0.15-3.20vs Predicted
-
13Denison University-1.36-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.44University of Wisconsin4.100.7%1st Place
-
5.2University of Saint Thomas1.410.0%1st Place
-
7.89University of Minnesota0.200.0%1st Place
-
5.36University of Michigan1.310.0%1st Place
-
3.35Northwestern University2.370.1%1st Place
-
5.5Western Michigan University1.250.0%1st Place
-
6.69Ohio State University0.690.0%1st Place
-
7.0Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
-
8.84University of Notre Dame-0.250.0%1st Place
-
7.09University of Illinois0.540.0%1st Place
-
8.8University of Chicago-0.150.0%1st Place
-
10.83Denison University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 68.6% | 22.9% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wilson | 3.6% | 8.7% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Joe Lund | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 5.7% |
| Sammy Barbour | 3.3% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Michael Cornew | 11.3% | 28.1% | 21.1% | 16.0% | 11.0% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Trost | 3.5% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Julian | 2.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Steven Catlin | 1.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 3.4% |
| John O'Brien | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 18.4% | 21.9% | 11.3% |
| Megan Dawson | 1.5% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 2.7% |
| Miles Lubin | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 20.5% | 13.8% |
| Blair Cathcart | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 17.0% | 60.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.