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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+2.47vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.75+2.98vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.70+0.11vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.58+0.97vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.48-0.68vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.36-0.85vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-1.50vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21+1.35vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-1.94+2.05vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.67+0.37vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-2.12+0.46vs Predicted
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12Duke University-1.61-1.63vs Predicted
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13University of Georgia-2.55-0.71vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.03-2.84vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-2.19-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47North Carolina State University1.5319.9%1st Place
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4.98Jacksonville University0.7510.0%1st Place
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3.11Jacksonville University1.7024.1%1st Place
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4.97Hampton University0.589.5%1st Place
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4.32University of California at Los Angeles1.4813.7%1st Place
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5.15University of South Florida0.369.6%1st Place
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5.5Florida Institute of Technology-0.297.8%1st Place
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9.35University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.211.3%1st Place
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11.05Georgia Institute of Technology-1.940.8%1st Place
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10.37Embry-Riddle University-1.670.9%1st Place
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11.46Northwestern University-2.120.4%1st Place
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10.37Duke University-1.610.9%1st Place
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12.29University of Georgia-2.550.3%1st Place
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11.16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.030.5%1st Place
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12.44University of North Carolina-2.190.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 19.9% | 18.7% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pappas | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 24.1% | 20.1% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 13.7% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 9.6% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| James Elder | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 9.3% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 5.7% |
| Rachel Spahn | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 13.5% |
| William Robertson | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 5.5% |
| Emma Pope | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 19.4% | 25.1% |
| Sydney Mitchell | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 11.1% |
| Matthias Pietrus | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.