Race 8B

fj-firefly-invite-mit

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Conor Fowler 15.5% 14.8% 14.8% 12.1% 10.1% 8.2% 7.7% 4.9% 4.8% 3.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
William Livernois 15.2% 14.2% 11.3% 13.3% 9.8% 7.7% 7.8% 8.1% 3.7% 4.5% 1.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Booth 14.7% 13.4% 13.5% 11.1% 11.7% 9.2% 7.9% 7.5% 5.5% 2.6% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Ansel Duff 5.3% 6.7% 6.1% 7.4% 6.8% 6.7% 8.2% 8.5% 8.2% 9.6% 7.9% 7.7% 6.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.2%
Nicholas Odegard 5.6% 5.9% 5.9% 7.2% 6.4% 8.8% 8.7% 8.1% 7.9% 8.6% 9.6% 7.3% 5.6% 2.9% 1.3% 0.2%
James Goodson 6.5% 6.8% 11.1% 7.5% 9.4% 10.5% 7.9% 8.0% 8.4% 7.1% 6.2% 4.6% 3.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.2%
David Rodriguez Fuentes 4.2% 3.8% 3.3% 4.5% 5.6% 5.1% 5.3% 6.1% 6.9% 8.2% 10.6% 12.1% 10.3% 8.2% 4.6% 1.2%
Beckett Colson 2.3% 2.6% 3.4% 3.7% 4.1% 4.0% 4.7% 6.7% 6.8% 8.8% 7.9% 11.7% 12.4% 10.7% 8.0% 2.2%
Ali Carley 2.5% 3.4% 3.2% 3.3% 3.2% 4.1% 5.5% 5.7% 7.9% 8.8% 9.6% 10.3% 12.0% 10.7% 6.8% 3.0%
Alex Davis 5.8% 6.3% 5.3% 4.7% 6.8% 8.9% 7.4% 9.1% 9.4% 9.6% 10.0% 7.2% 4.9% 3.4% 0.9% 0.3%
Brooke Baker 9.0% 7.8% 7.9% 8.4% 8.1% 8.0% 10.4% 8.1% 8.3% 7.1% 7.9% 3.8% 3.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Alex Dion 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 1.0% 1.5% 1.4% 1.7% 2.3% 2.3% 2.6% 4.3% 6.2% 8.3% 14.4% 19.7% 32.4%
John Cavoores 1.9% 1.6% 3.1% 4.2% 3.3% 4.0% 5.4% 5.7% 6.2% 6.9% 9.3% 10.6% 13.1% 12.2% 9.4% 3.1%
Luke Orchardo 9.8% 9.4% 8.8% 10.5% 10.9% 10.6% 7.2% 8.0% 8.5% 5.8% 4.6% 3.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Silhavy 0.6% 1.3% 0.6% 0.4% 1.0% 0.8% 1.8% 0.7% 1.9% 2.6% 2.4% 5.6% 6.7% 11.5% 24.0% 38.1%
Paige Burns 0.7% 1.3% 0.9% 0.7% 1.3% 2.0% 2.4% 2.5% 3.3% 4.2% 4.5% 6.2% 10.0% 17.8% 23.1% 19.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.