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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+2.58vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.48+2.54vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.75+2.18vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.58+1.22vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.36+0.54vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.70-2.72vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.24+0.44vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-2.19vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21+0.82vs Predicted
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10Duke University-1.61+0.97vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.67-0.16vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-2.12-0.11vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology-1.94-1.50vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-2.55-1.26vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.03-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58North Carolina State University1.5319.3%1st Place
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4.54University of California at Los Angeles1.4812.6%1st Place
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5.18Jacksonville University0.7510.3%1st Place
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5.22Hampton University0.589.6%1st Place
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5.54University of South Florida0.368.2%1st Place
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3.28Jacksonville University1.7022.9%1st Place
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7.44University of North Carolina-0.243.7%1st Place
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5.81Florida Institute of Technology-0.298.2%1st Place
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9.82University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.211.7%1st Place
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10.97Duke University-1.610.7%1st Place
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10.84Embry-Riddle University-1.670.5%1st Place
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11.89Northwestern University-2.120.4%1st Place
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11.5Georgia Institute of Technology-1.940.7%1st Place
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12.74University of Georgia-2.550.8%1st Place
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11.66University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.030.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 19.3% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 12.6% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pappas | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 22.9% | 20.0% | 17.6% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Brandon DePalma | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 2.8% |
| William Robertson | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 7.6% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 6.6% |
| Rachel Spahn | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 17.6% |
| James Elder | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 14.2% |
| Emma Pope | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 17.4% | 35.9% |
| Sydney Mitchell | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 18.1% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.