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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.47+3.71vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.51+2.67vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.80+7.07vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.55+0.69vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.59+2.54vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.06+0.11vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.76+3.24vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.56-0.54vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University1.87-2.50vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.54-2.25vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-1.92vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.67-1.57vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-0.66+0.81vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.88-7.57vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.21-2.03vs Predicted
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16Amherst College-0.49-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.470.1%1st Place
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4.67Roger Williams University2.510.2%1st Place
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10.07Bates College0.800.0%1st Place
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4.69Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.54Harvard University1.590.1%1st Place
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6.11Northeastern University2.060.1%1st Place
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10.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.760.0%1st Place
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7.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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6.5Wesleyan University1.870.1%1st Place
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7.75University of Rhode Island1.540.1%1st Place
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9.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.080.0%1st Place
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10.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.670.0%1st Place
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13.81University of Connecticut-0.660.0%1st Place
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6.43Salve Regina University1.880.1%1st Place
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12.97Bentley University-0.210.0%1st Place
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13.54Amherst College-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Livernois | 14.8% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 16.2% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ali Carley | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| Conor Fowler | 14.2% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ansel Duff | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Luke Orchardo | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Beckett Colson | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Nicholas Odegard | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Baker | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alex Davis | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| David Rodriguez Fuentes | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| John Cavoores | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 4.2% |
| Andrew Silhavy | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 22.6% | 36.9% |
| James Goodson | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Paige Burns | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 17.2% | 23.5% | 20.2% |
| Alex Dion | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 24.0% | 30.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.