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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+2.62vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.58+3.19vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.75+2.16vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.48+0.46vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+0.90vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.24+1.45vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.70-3.83vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.36-2.58vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-1.67+1.78vs Predicted
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10Duke University-1.61+0.90vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-1.19vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-1.94-0.45vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-2.12-1.04vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-2.55-1.16vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.03-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62North Carolina State University1.5318.4%1st Place
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5.19Hampton University0.5810.0%1st Place
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5.16Jacksonville University0.759.7%1st Place
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4.46University of California at Los Angeles1.4813.5%1st Place
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5.9Florida Institute of Technology-0.296.9%1st Place
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7.45University of North Carolina-0.243.5%1st Place
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3.17Jacksonville University1.7024.1%1st Place
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5.42University of South Florida0.367.8%1st Place
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10.78Embry-Riddle University-1.671.1%1st Place
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10.9Duke University-1.610.8%1st Place
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9.81University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.211.8%1st Place
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11.55Georgia Institute of Technology-1.940.9%1st Place
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11.96Northwestern University-2.120.8%1st Place
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12.84University of Georgia-2.550.4%1st Place
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11.78University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.030.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 18.4% | 19.0% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 10.0% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pappas | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Igoe | 24.1% | 21.1% | 17.4% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 6.0% |
| William Robertson | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 7.7% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 2.4% |
| James Elder | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 13.7% |
| Rachel Spahn | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 18.8% | 19.1% |
| Emma Pope | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 36.2% |
| Sydney Mitchell | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 18.6% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.