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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+2.16vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.48+2.57vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.53+0.63vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.58+1.14vs Predicted
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5Duke University-1.61+5.97vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.24+1.43vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-2.12+4.95vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-2.14vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.36-3.57vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.75-4.84vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+0.30vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-1.80vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.67-2.07vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-1.94-2.38vs Predicted
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15University of Georgia-2.55-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Jacksonville University1.7025.1%1st Place
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4.57University of California at Los Angeles1.4811.9%1st Place
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3.63North Carolina State University1.5319.2%1st Place
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5.14Hampton University0.5810.0%1st Place
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10.97Duke University-1.610.9%1st Place
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7.43University of North Carolina-0.243.4%1st Place
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11.95Northwestern University-2.120.5%1st Place
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5.86Florida Institute of Technology-0.297.2%1st Place
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5.43University of South Florida0.367.8%1st Place
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5.16Jacksonville University0.759.7%1st Place
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11.3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.8%1st Place
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10.2University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.361.6%1st Place
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10.93Embry-Riddle University-1.670.9%1st Place
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11.62Georgia Institute of Technology-1.940.6%1st Place
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12.65University of Georgia-2.550.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 25.1% | 20.5% | 16.9% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 11.9% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 19.2% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Robertson | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 9.3% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Spahn | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 18.6% | 18.9% |
| Brandon DePalma | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pappas | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 11.9% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 3.9% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 7.9% |
| James Elder | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 14.6% |
| Emma Pope | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 33.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.