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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+2.15vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.48+2.51vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.53+0.60vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.58+1.21vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.36+0.41vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-0.14vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.75-1.86vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.24-0.56vs Predicted
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9Duke University-1.61+1.90vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+1.42vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-2.12+0.85vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-1.69vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.67-2.12vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-1.94-2.48vs Predicted
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15University of Georgia-2.55-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15Jacksonville University1.7024.4%1st Place
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4.51University of California at Los Angeles1.4812.2%1st Place
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3.6North Carolina State University1.5319.6%1st Place
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5.21Hampton University0.589.4%1st Place
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5.41University of South Florida0.368.0%1st Place
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5.86Florida Institute of Technology-0.296.9%1st Place
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5.14Jacksonville University0.759.5%1st Place
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7.44University of North Carolina-0.244.3%1st Place
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10.9Duke University-1.611.4%1st Place
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11.42University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.7%1st Place
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11.85Northwestern University-2.120.7%1st Place
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10.31University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.361.1%1st Place
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10.88Embry-Riddle University-1.670.9%1st Place
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11.52Georgia Institute of Technology-1.940.5%1st Place
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12.78University of Georgia-2.550.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 24.4% | 21.1% | 17.8% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 12.2% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 19.6% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pappas | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Robertson | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 8.1% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 12.8% |
| Rachel Spahn | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 18.3% | 18.6% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 7.3% |
| James Elder | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 13.8% |
| Emma Pope | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.