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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+2.60vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.48+2.49vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.70+0.25vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.58+1.19vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.75+0.16vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.36-0.66vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-1.17vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36+2.20vs Predicted
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9Duke University-1.61+2.00vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-0.24-2.62vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+0.21vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.67-1.31vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology-1.94-1.44vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-2.55-1.32vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University-2.36-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6North Carolina State University1.5319.9%1st Place
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4.49University of California at Los Angeles1.4813.2%1st Place
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3.25Jacksonville University1.7024.4%1st Place
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5.19Hampton University0.589.0%1st Place
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5.16Jacksonville University0.759.0%1st Place
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5.34University of South Florida0.368.5%1st Place
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5.83Florida Institute of Technology-0.296.5%1st Place
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10.2University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.360.9%1st Place
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11.0Duke University-1.610.9%1st Place
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7.38University of North Carolina-0.243.9%1st Place
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11.21University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.9%1st Place
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10.69Embry-Riddle University-1.671.1%1st Place
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11.56Georgia Institute of Technology-1.940.4%1st Place
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12.68University of Georgia-2.550.4%1st Place
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12.42Northwestern University-2.360.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 19.9% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 13.2% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 24.4% | 18.6% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pappas | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 3.5% |
| William Robertson | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 7.3% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 10.2% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 6.1% |
| James Elder | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 13.3% |
| Emma Pope | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 18.1% | 32.9% |
| Ella Weaver | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 19.1% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.