← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.53+2.65vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Los Angeles1.48+2.40vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University1.70+0.16vs Predicted
-
4Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+1.88vs Predicted
-
5Hampton University0.58+0.07vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida0.36-0.56vs Predicted
-
7University of North Carolina-0.24+0.49vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University0.75-2.85vs Predicted
-
9Embry-Riddle University-1.67+1.87vs Predicted
-
10Duke University-1.61+0.86vs Predicted
-
11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-0.79vs Predicted
-
12Georgia Institute of Technology-1.94-0.60vs Predicted
-
13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-1.73vs Predicted
-
14Northwestern University-2.36-1.59vs Predicted
-
15University of Georgia-2.55-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.65North Carolina State University1.5318.1%1st Place
-
4.4University of California at Los Angeles1.4814.1%1st Place
-
3.16Jacksonville University1.7024.1%1st Place
-
5.88Florida Institute of Technology-0.297.6%1st Place
-
5.07Hampton University0.589.6%1st Place
-
5.44University of South Florida0.368.0%1st Place
-
7.49University of North Carolina-0.243.2%1st Place
-
5.15Jacksonville University0.7510.1%1st Place
-
10.87Embry-Riddle University-1.670.7%1st Place
-
10.86Duke University-1.611.0%1st Place
-
10.21University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.361.2%1st Place
-
11.4Georgia Institute of Technology-1.940.9%1st Place
-
11.27University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.9%1st Place
-
12.41Northwestern University-2.360.4%1st Place
-
12.75University of Georgia-2.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 18.1% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 14.1% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 24.1% | 21.3% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Pappas | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 6.3% |
| William Robertson | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 7.0% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 3.6% |
| James Elder | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 13.2% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 10.1% |
| Ella Weaver | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 17.5% | 26.8% |
| Emma Pope | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 19.9% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.