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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+2.20vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.48+2.58vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.53+0.56vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.36+1.58vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.24+2.51vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.58-0.63vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.75-1.84vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21+1.95vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-3.02vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36+0.40vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-1.94+0.69vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.67-0.86vs Predicted
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13Duke University-1.61-1.97vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University-2.12-2.00vs Predicted
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15University of Georgia-2.55-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Jacksonville University1.7024.6%1st Place
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4.58University of California at Los Angeles1.4812.7%1st Place
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3.56North Carolina State University1.5320.8%1st Place
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5.58University of South Florida0.368.0%1st Place
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7.51University of North Carolina-0.243.5%1st Place
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5.37Hampton University0.587.6%1st Place
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5.16Jacksonville University0.759.2%1st Place
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9.95University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.211.6%1st Place
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5.98Florida Institute of Technology-0.296.9%1st Place
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10.4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.361.2%1st Place
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11.69Georgia Institute of Technology-1.940.4%1st Place
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11.14Embry-Riddle University-1.671.5%1st Place
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11.03Duke University-1.610.9%1st Place
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12.0Northwestern University-2.120.7%1st Place
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12.86University of Georgia-2.550.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 24.6% | 20.5% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 12.7% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 20.8% | 17.3% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pappas | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 3.5% |
| Brandon DePalma | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 4.3% |
| James Elder | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 15.8% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 8.6% |
| William Robertson | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 8.6% |
| Rachel Spahn | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 18.4% | 21.1% |
| Emma Pope | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 18.2% | 38.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.