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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.42+5.05vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.46+3.55vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.81+4.94vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+1.61vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20+1.40vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.82+1.62vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+0.05vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.51-2.03vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.95-0.52vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.25-3.54vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.59-2.91vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-3.26vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.60-1.78vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.05-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05University of Pennsylvania2.4210.6%1st Place
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5.55Tulane University2.4611.3%1st Place
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7.94Old Dominion University1.817.2%1st Place
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5.61University of California at Santa Barbara2.0411.2%1st Place
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6.4Georgetown University2.208.4%1st Place
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7.62George Washington University1.827.0%1st Place
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7.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.057.5%1st Place
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5.97SUNY Maritime College2.5110.2%1st Place
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8.48Florida State University1.954.6%1st Place
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6.46U. S. Naval Academy2.257.6%1st Place
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8.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.594.9%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.414.5%1st Place
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11.22Christopher Newport University0.601.7%1st Place
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9.81University of Vermont1.053.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bruce | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 5.2% |
| Chris Kayda | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Diego Escobar | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Tyler Wood | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 4.5% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 6.0% |
| William Weinbecker | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 9.3% |
| Aston Atherton | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 40.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.