Race 2A

2023-truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Diego Escobar 8.3% 9.5% 8.5% 9.1% 8.8% 7.7% 7.8% 8.2% 8.5% 6.9% 6.7% 5.1% 3.5% 1.7%
Tyler Wood 6.7% 6.2% 5.0% 7.6% 6.4% 6.9% 7.1% 8.0% 8.1% 8.5% 8.1% 9.2% 7.0% 5.3%
William Weinbecker 5.2% 4.6% 5.4% 4.8% 5.7% 5.9% 5.9% 6.4% 7.4% 9.3% 8.8% 9.7% 11.9% 9.0%
Benton Amthor 11.1% 10.3% 11.0% 8.9% 9.2% 10.1% 8.5% 7.4% 6.7% 5.6% 4.7% 4.0% 2.1% 0.3%
Cameron Giblin 11.9% 10.7% 11.5% 9.7% 9.2% 9.6% 8.4% 7.6% 5.9% 6.0% 4.0% 3.1% 1.6% 0.8%
Gavin McJones 9.2% 8.7% 8.8% 8.1% 7.8% 9.2% 9.7% 8.3% 7.9% 7.2% 5.1% 5.1% 3.2% 1.8%
Nicholas Sessions 5.0% 6.0% 5.5% 5.1% 6.2% 6.8% 7.3% 7.5% 7.3% 8.0% 9.4% 9.8% 9.3% 6.7%
Mateo Rodriguez 4.7% 5.0% 5.5% 6.7% 5.8% 5.6% 6.6% 6.7% 7.6% 7.7% 9.4% 10.1% 10.4% 8.2%
Calvin Lamosse 2.9% 3.6% 4.3% 4.3% 4.7% 4.7% 4.6% 5.0% 6.0% 6.9% 8.6% 11.0% 15.1% 18.4%
Jordan Bruce 8.8% 10.8% 9.3% 10.1% 8.5% 8.4% 7.6% 8.2% 7.9% 6.5% 6.8% 3.9% 2.5% 0.7%
Chris Kayda 11.0% 9.8% 10.3% 9.2% 10.8% 7.8% 9.4% 8.2% 6.2% 5.5% 5.0% 3.5% 2.8% 0.5%
Aston Atherton 1.2% 1.6% 1.8% 2.1% 3.2% 2.9% 3.0% 4.3% 4.1% 5.4% 6.0% 9.9% 16.2% 38.0%
Charlie Anderson 8.2% 7.2% 6.8% 8.3% 7.5% 7.6% 8.0% 6.4% 8.8% 7.5% 8.6% 6.4% 5.5% 3.0%
Noyl Odom 5.8% 5.8% 6.3% 5.9% 6.2% 6.9% 6.2% 7.8% 7.6% 9.1% 8.8% 9.2% 8.6% 5.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.