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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.41+3.77vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+5.00vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.72+1.00vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University2.27+1.06vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+2.17vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.98+4.40vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands0.82+2.98vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.99+1.60vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University1.81-2.46vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.95-0.19vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-0.51vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-0.82vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-0.40+0.18vs Predicted
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14University of Washington1.83-7.69vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University-0.59-1.32vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California1.40-9.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77University of Hawaii2.4115.2%1st Place
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7.0University of California at Santa Barbara1.675.9%1st Place
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4.0Stanford University2.7218.6%1st Place
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5.06San Diego State University2.2712.3%1st Place
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7.17California Poly Maritime Academy1.927.2%1st Place
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10.4University of California at Berkeley0.982.1%1st Place
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9.98California State University Channel Islands0.822.9%1st Place
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9.6Arizona State University0.992.9%1st Place
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6.54Western Washington University1.817.8%1st Place
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9.81University of California at San Diego0.953.2%1st Place
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10.49University of California at Santa Cruz0.912.1%1st Place
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11.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.351.6%1st Place
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13.18University of Oregon-0.400.9%1st Place
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6.31University of Washington1.838.8%1st Place
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13.68Santa Clara University-0.590.4%1st Place
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6.83University of Southern California1.407.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 15.2% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 18.6% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Nyenhuis | 12.3% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 4.8% |
| Sterling Maggard | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Juan Casal | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Leif Hauge | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 3.1% |
| Colin Olson | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 5.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 8.8% |
| Rowan Clinch | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 21.8% | 30.4% |
| Benjamin Stone | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Paul Trudell | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 17.6% | 40.8% |
| Luke Harris | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.