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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota0.20+7.01vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin4.10-0.56vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas1.41+2.12vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.69+2.83vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-0.25+3.90vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.31-1.65vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University2.37-4.74vs Predicted
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9Marquette University0.56-1.99vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois0.54-2.97vs Predicted
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11University of Chicago-0.15-2.38vs Predicted
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12Western Michigan University1.25-6.39vs Predicted
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13Denison University-1.36-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.01University of Minnesota0.200.0%1st Place
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1.44University of Wisconsin4.100.7%1st Place
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5.12University of Saint Thomas1.410.0%1st Place
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6.83Ohio State University0.690.0%1st Place
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8.9University of Notre Dame-0.250.0%1st Place
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5.35University of Michigan1.310.0%1st Place
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3.26Northwestern University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.01Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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7.03University of Illinois0.540.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Chicago-0.150.0%1st Place
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5.61Western Michigan University1.250.0%1st Place
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10.82Denison University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Lund | 1.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 7.6% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 67.3% | 23.9% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wilson | 3.9% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Anthony Julian | 1.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| John O'Brien | 0.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 21.7% | 14.9% |
| Sammy Barbour | 4.0% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Michael Cornew | 13.4% | 26.8% | 22.9% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Catlin | 1.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 3.4% |
| Megan Dawson | 1.8% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 1.4% |
| Miles Lubin | 0.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 21.1% | 11.1% |
| Charlie Trost | 3.3% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Blair Cathcart | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 8.1% | 17.3% | 58.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.