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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.51+4.92vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.81+6.01vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.25+3.33vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.42+2.17vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20+1.27vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-0.21vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.46-1.46vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.82-0.36vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.05+0.77vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.59-1.67vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-4.04vs Predicted
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12Florida State University1.95-3.48vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-4.45vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.60-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92SUNY Maritime College2.5110.9%1st Place
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8.01Old Dominion University1.814.9%1st Place
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6.33U. S. Naval Academy2.258.8%1st Place
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6.17University of Pennsylvania2.4210.1%1st Place
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6.27Georgetown University2.208.4%1st Place
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5.79University of California at Santa Barbara2.0410.4%1st Place
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5.54Tulane University2.4612.0%1st Place
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7.64George Washington University1.827.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Vermont1.053.4%1st Place
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8.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.595.5%1st Place
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6.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.056.7%1st Place
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8.52Florida State University1.955.1%1st Place
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8.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.415.0%1st Place
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11.21Christopher Newport University0.602.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 5.4% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Diego Escobar | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Chris Kayda | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Giblin | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Wood | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 18.9% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% |
| Charlie Anderson | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 8.2% |
| William Weinbecker | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 8.1% |
| Aston Atherton | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 14.8% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.