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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.46+4.63vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.51+3.83vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20+3.33vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.25+2.42vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.82+2.57vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.42+0.15vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.81+1.08vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+0.56vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-1.97vs Predicted
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10Florida State University1.95-1.55vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.59-2.69vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.05-2.29vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-7.33vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.60-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Tulane University2.4611.3%1st Place
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5.83SUNY Maritime College2.5111.5%1st Place
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6.33Georgetown University2.2010.0%1st Place
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6.42U. S. Naval Academy2.258.5%1st Place
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7.57George Washington University1.826.3%1st Place
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6.15University of Pennsylvania2.429.8%1st Place
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8.08Old Dominion University1.814.9%1st Place
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8.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.414.4%1st Place
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7.03St. Mary's College of Maryland2.058.0%1st Place
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8.45Florida State University1.954.5%1st Place
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8.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.595.1%1st Place
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9.71University of Vermont1.053.2%1st Place
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5.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.0410.7%1st Place
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11.26Christopher Newport University0.601.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Benton Amthor | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Diego Escobar | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 5.8% |
| William Weinbecker | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 8.1% |
| Charlie Anderson | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 7.5% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 18.4% |
| Chris Kayda | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Aston Atherton | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.