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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.46+4.37vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.51+3.75vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.25+3.33vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+4.58vs Predicted
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5Florida State University1.95+3.45vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+0.85vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.90+0.06vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.59+0.16vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.20-2.55vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.82-2.46vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.05-1.43vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.81-4.06vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-7.22vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.60-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.37Tulane University2.4612.0%1st Place
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5.75SUNY Maritime College2.5111.3%1st Place
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6.33U. S. Naval Academy2.258.9%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.415.1%1st Place
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8.45Florida State University1.955.5%1st Place
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6.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.057.9%1st Place
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7.06University of Pennsylvania1.908.2%1st Place
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8.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.594.8%1st Place
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6.45Georgetown University2.208.6%1st Place
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7.54George Washington University1.826.4%1st Place
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9.57University of Vermont1.053.0%1st Place
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7.94Old Dominion University1.815.1%1st Place
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5.78University of California at Santa Barbara2.0411.3%1st Place
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11.16Christopher Newport University0.601.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Benton Amthor | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| William Weinbecker | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 8.5% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Javier Garcon | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.4% |
| Diego Escobar | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 17.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 5.9% |
| Chris Kayda | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Aston Atherton | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 39.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.