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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.81+6.85vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.25+4.31vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.82+4.66vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.46+1.46vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20+1.41vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.90+1.10vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.51-1.23vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-2.34vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.95-0.73vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-1.47vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.05-1.24vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.59-3.73vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-6.13vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.60-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85Old Dominion University1.815.6%1st Place
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6.31U. S. Naval Academy2.259.6%1st Place
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7.66George Washington University1.826.0%1st Place
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5.46Tulane University2.4612.6%1st Place
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6.41Georgetown University2.208.3%1st Place
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7.1University of Pennsylvania1.908.2%1st Place
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5.77SUNY Maritime College2.5110.0%1st Place
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5.66University of California at Santa Barbara2.0411.4%1st Place
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8.27Florida State University1.955.4%1st Place
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8.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.415.1%1st Place
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9.76University of Vermont1.053.1%1st Place
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8.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.594.8%1st Place
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6.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.057.8%1st Place
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11.09Christopher Newport University0.602.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noyl Odom | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% |
| Gavin McJones | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.3% |
| Cameron Giblin | 12.6% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Diego Escobar | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Javier Garcon | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Chris Kayda | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% |
| William Weinbecker | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 16.5% | 17.2% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 6.7% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Aston Atherton | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 14.8% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.