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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+5.29vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.25+4.30vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.46+2.47vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.81+3.81vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.82+2.48vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.51-0.30vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.90+0.05vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.59+0.25vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-3.28vs Predicted
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10Florida State University1.95-1.81vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-4.02vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-3.35vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.60-1.73vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.05-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29Georgetown University2.209.4%1st Place
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6.3U. S. Naval Academy2.259.3%1st Place
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5.47Tulane University2.4612.0%1st Place
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7.81Old Dominion University1.815.1%1st Place
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7.48George Washington University1.827.3%1st Place
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5.7SUNY Maritime College2.5110.9%1st Place
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7.05University of Pennsylvania1.908.1%1st Place
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8.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.595.3%1st Place
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5.72University of California at Santa Barbara2.0410.5%1st Place
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8.19Florida State University1.955.2%1st Place
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6.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.056.8%1st Place
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8.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.414.2%1st Place
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11.27Christopher Newport University0.601.8%1st Place
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9.84University of Vermont1.053.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
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Diego Escobar | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
Gavin McJones | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
Cameron Giblin | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
Noyl Odom | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 4.8% |
Tyler Wood | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% |
Benton Amthor | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
Javier Garcon | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
Nicholas Sessions | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 6.4% |
Chris Kayda | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
Mateo Rodriguez | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 6.2% |
Charlie Anderson | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
William Weinbecker | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 8.6% |
Aston Atherton | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 39.8% |
Calvin Lamosse | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 16.6% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.