← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Maritime College2.51+4.69vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.25+4.33vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University1.81+4.94vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University2.46+1.39vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.20+1.28vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University1.82+1.66vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-1.31vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania1.90-0.89vs Predicted
-
9Florida State University1.95-0.64vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-3.07vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.59-2.78vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont1.05-2.21vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-4.46vs Predicted
-
14Christopher Newport University0.60-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.69SUNY Maritime College2.5110.8%1st Place
-
6.33U. S. Naval Academy2.259.2%1st Place
-
7.94Old Dominion University1.815.3%1st Place
-
5.39Tulane University2.4612.3%1st Place
-
6.28Georgetown University2.208.9%1st Place
-
7.66George Washington University1.825.8%1st Place
-
5.69University of California at Santa Barbara2.0412.2%1st Place
-
7.11University of Pennsylvania1.906.7%1st Place
-
8.36Florida State University1.955.4%1st Place
-
6.93St. Mary's College of Maryland2.058.5%1st Place
-
8.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.594.9%1st Place
-
9.79University of Vermont1.052.6%1st Place
-
8.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.415.1%1st Place
-
11.07Christopher Newport University0.602.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 10.8% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Gavin McJones | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 5.2% |
| Cameron Giblin | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Diego Escobar | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.8% |
| Chris Kayda | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Javier Garcon | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 17.8% |
| William Weinbecker | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 8.2% |
| Aston Atherton | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 39.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.