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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.21+6.01vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.42+2.56vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.89+3.17vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.59+3.25vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.88+1.21vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.27+1.47vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.60-0.11vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-1.78vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.62-2.07vs Predicted
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10Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-1.96vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.80-1.55vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.99-2.96vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-3.72vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.48-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.01Tulane University2.218.1%1st Place
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4.56Georgetown University2.4216.2%1st Place
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6.17U. S. Naval Academy1.899.8%1st Place
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7.25Old Dominion University1.597.4%1st Place
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6.21SUNY Maritime College1.889.3%1st Place
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7.47George Washington University1.277.0%1st Place
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6.89University of Pennsylvania1.607.6%1st Place
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6.22University of California at Santa Barbara1.449.0%1st Place
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6.93Florida State University1.627.4%1st Place
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8.04Palm Beach Atlantic University1.265.5%1st Place
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9.45University of Vermont0.803.8%1st Place
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9.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.993.5%1st Place
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9.28St. Mary's College of Maryland0.903.3%1st Place
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10.5Christopher Newport University0.482.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 8.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Enzo Menditto | 16.2% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Cooper Walshe | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Spencer Barnes | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Samuel Gavula | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Joey Meagher | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Thomas Green | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.0% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 16.4% |
| Thomas Walker | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 12.8% |
| Max Kleha | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 15.6% |
| David Grace | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.