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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.21+5.92vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.59+5.18vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.89+3.05vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.27+3.61vs Predicted
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5Florida State University1.62+2.10vs Predicted
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6Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26+1.94vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.42-2.43vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.60-0.94vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College1.88-2.57vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-3.97vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.48-0.49vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.80-2.57vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.99-4.08vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.92Tulane University2.218.1%1st Place
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7.18Old Dominion University1.596.5%1st Place
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6.05U. S. Naval Academy1.8910.9%1st Place
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7.61George Washington University1.277.1%1st Place
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7.1Florida State University1.628.0%1st Place
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7.94Palm Beach Atlantic University1.265.0%1st Place
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4.57Georgetown University2.4216.1%1st Place
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7.06University of Pennsylvania1.607.0%1st Place
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6.43SUNY Maritime College1.888.6%1st Place
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6.03University of California at Santa Barbara1.4410.3%1st Place
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10.51Christopher Newport University0.482.1%1st Place
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9.43University of Vermont0.803.5%1st Place
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8.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.993.6%1st Place
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9.24St. Mary's College of Maryland0.903.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Cooper Walshe | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% |
| Joey Meagher | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Thomas Green | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% |
| Enzo Menditto | 16.1% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Gavula | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Spencer Barnes | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Ted McDonough | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| David Grace | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 29.5% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 15.9% |
| Thomas Walker | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 11.9% |
| Max Kleha | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.