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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.42+3.47vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.21+5.02vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.62+4.06vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.27+3.61vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.88+1.37vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.89+0.13vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.59+0.05vs Predicted
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8Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-0.13vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.80+0.46vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-3.88vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.60-3.97vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-2.76vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.48-2.41vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.99-4.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Georgetown University2.4216.9%1st Place
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7.02Tulane University2.217.8%1st Place
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7.06Florida State University1.627.5%1st Place
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7.61George Washington University1.276.3%1st Place
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6.37SUNY Maritime College1.888.8%1st Place
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6.13U. S. Naval Academy1.899.7%1st Place
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7.05Old Dominion University1.596.5%1st Place
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7.87Palm Beach Atlantic University1.265.9%1st Place
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9.46University of Vermont0.803.4%1st Place
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6.12University of California at Santa Barbara1.4410.2%1st Place
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7.03University of Pennsylvania1.607.9%1st Place
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9.24St. Mary's College of Maryland0.903.0%1st Place
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10.59Christopher Newport University0.482.2%1st Place
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9.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.993.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 16.9% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Joey Meagher | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Spencer Barnes | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Cooper Walshe | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Thomas Green | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 5.6% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 15.4% |
| Ted McDonough | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Samuel Gavula | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Max Kleha | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 14.8% |
| David Grace | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 30.6% |
| Thomas Walker | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.