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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.42+3.46vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.21+5.09vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.59+4.19vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.89+2.07vs Predicted
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5Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26+2.94vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.99+2.95vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.80+2.50vs Predicted
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8Florida State University1.62-0.94vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College1.88-2.65vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-0.61vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-4.81vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.48-1.60vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.60-6.14vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.27-6.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Georgetown University2.4217.3%1st Place
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7.09Tulane University2.217.1%1st Place
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7.19Old Dominion University1.598.0%1st Place
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6.07U. S. Naval Academy1.899.4%1st Place
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7.94Palm Beach Atlantic University1.265.3%1st Place
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8.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.994.5%1st Place
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9.5University of Vermont0.804.0%1st Place
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7.06Florida State University1.627.3%1st Place
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6.35SUNY Maritime College1.889.1%1st Place
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9.39St. Mary's College of Maryland0.903.0%1st Place
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6.19University of California at Santa Barbara1.448.6%1st Place
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10.4Christopher Newport University0.482.1%1st Place
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6.86University of Pennsylvania1.608.1%1st Place
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7.58George Washington University1.276.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 17.3% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
| Cooper Walshe | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Green | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.0% |
| Thomas Walker | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.9% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 16.7% |
| Joey Meagher | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Spencer Barnes | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Max Kleha | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 15.1% |
| Ted McDonough | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| David Grace | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 28.1% |
| Samuel Gavula | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.