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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin4.10+0.44vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.20+5.98vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-0.25+5.86vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University1.25+1.51vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University2.37-1.65vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.31-0.58vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.56+0.02vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois0.54-1.88vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University0.69-3.35vs Predicted
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11University of Chicago-0.15-2.37vs Predicted
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12Denison University-1.36-1.18vs Predicted
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13University of Saint Thomas1.41-7.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.44University of Wisconsin4.100.7%1st Place
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7.98University of Minnesota0.200.0%1st Place
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8.86University of Notre Dame-0.250.0%1st Place
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5.51Western Michigan University1.250.0%1st Place
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3.35Northwestern University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.42University of Michigan1.310.0%1st Place
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7.02Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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7.12University of Illinois0.540.0%1st Place
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6.65Ohio State University0.690.0%1st Place
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8.63University of Chicago-0.150.0%1st Place
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10.82Denison University-1.360.0%1st Place
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5.2University of Saint Thomas1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 68.3% | 21.9% | 7.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Lund | 0.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 5.0% |
| John O'Brien | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 16.3% | 25.3% | 12.5% |
| Charlie Trost | 2.6% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Michael Cornew | 11.3% | 27.9% | 22.0% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Barbour | 3.5% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Steven Catlin | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 3.4% |
| Megan Dawson | 1.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 3.3% |
| Anthony Julian | 2.7% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Miles Lubin | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 19.2% | 12.5% |
| Blair Cathcart | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 14.7% | 61.4% |
| Brandon Wilson | 4.0% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 17.3% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.