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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.83+5.24vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.41+2.43vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University2.27+1.88vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.81+2.33vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.98+5.17vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.40+0.82vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-0.21vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-1.17vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+1.25vs Predicted
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10Stanford University1.82-3.67vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.82-1.16vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.95-2.19vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.99-3.67vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-0.59-0.30vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-3.89vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon-0.40-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24University of Washington1.839.2%1st Place
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4.43University of Hawaii2.4115.4%1st Place
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4.88San Diego State University2.2713.6%1st Place
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6.33Western Washington University1.818.5%1st Place
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10.17University of California at Berkeley0.983.5%1st Place
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6.82University of Southern California1.407.7%1st Place
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6.79California Poly Maritime Academy1.927.8%1st Place
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6.83University of California at Santa Barbara1.677.6%1st Place
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10.25University of California at Santa Cruz0.913.0%1st Place
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6.33Stanford University1.829.2%1st Place
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9.84California State University Channel Islands0.823.2%1st Place
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9.81University of California at San Diego0.953.5%1st Place
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9.33Arizona State University0.993.8%1st Place
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13.7Santa Clara University-0.590.9%1st Place
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11.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.351.8%1st Place
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13.14University of Oregon-0.401.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stone | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Erik Anderson | 15.4% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Nyenhuis | 13.6% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Leif Hauge | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 4.8% |
| Luke Harris | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Henry Boeger | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 4.9% |
| Dylan Sih | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Sterling Maggard | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 3.8% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 3.2% |
| Juan Casal | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Paul Trudell | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 18.6% | 41.4% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 8.2% |
| Rowan Clinch | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 12.6% | 21.2% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.