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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.59+6.13vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.86+4.22vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.60+4.04vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.88+2.23vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.21+2.02vs Predicted
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6Florida State University1.62+1.19vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.01-1.25vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.89-1.96vs Predicted
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9Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-0.93vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-3.88vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.99-2.07vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.80-2.56vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.48-2.43vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.13Old Dominion University1.598.0%1st Place
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6.22George Washington University1.868.2%1st Place
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7.04University of Pennsylvania1.607.4%1st Place
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6.23SUNY Maritime College1.889.6%1st Place
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7.02Tulane University2.218.0%1st Place
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7.19Florida State University1.627.7%1st Place
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5.75Georgetown University2.019.9%1st Place
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6.04U. S. Naval Academy1.8910.3%1st Place
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8.07Palm Beach Atlantic University1.265.8%1st Place
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6.12University of California at Santa Barbara1.449.6%1st Place
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8.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.994.2%1st Place
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9.44University of Vermont0.804.8%1st Place
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10.57Christopher Newport University0.482.6%1st Place
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9.24St. Mary's College of Maryland0.903.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Ciszewski | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Owen Timms | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Samuel Gavula | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| Spencer Barnes | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Joey Meagher | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Daniel Hughes | 9.9% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Cooper Walshe | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Green | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% |
| Ted McDonough | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Thomas Walker | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.2% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 16.8% |
| David Grace | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 31.9% |
| Max Kleha | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.