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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.60+6.01vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.89+4.10vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.62+4.12vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.59+3.14vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.88+1.36vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.86+0.16vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.21-0.04vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90+1.25vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-2.76vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.01-4.31vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.48-0.58vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.80-2.48vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.99-3.94vs Predicted
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14Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-6.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.01University of Pennsylvania1.607.3%1st Place
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6.1U. S. Naval Academy1.899.7%1st Place
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7.12Florida State University1.627.4%1st Place
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7.14Old Dominion University1.597.3%1st Place
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6.36SUNY Maritime College1.889.5%1st Place
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6.16George Washington University1.8610.3%1st Place
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6.96Tulane University2.217.1%1st Place
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9.25St. Mary's College of Maryland0.903.9%1st Place
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6.24University of California at Santa Barbara1.449.6%1st Place
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5.69Georgetown University2.0111.2%1st Place
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10.42Christopher Newport University0.483.0%1st Place
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9.52University of Vermont0.802.8%1st Place
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9.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.994.2%1st Place
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7.98Palm Beach Atlantic University1.266.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Gavula | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Cooper Walshe | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Joey Meagher | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Spencer Barnes | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Owen Timms | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Max Kleha | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 15.5% |
| Ted McDonough | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Daniel Hughes | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| David Grace | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 15.8% | 28.0% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 16.9% |
| Thomas Walker | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 12.8% |
| Thomas Green | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.