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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.86+5.31vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.21+4.96vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.01+2.68vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.59+3.28vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.88+1.32vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.89+0.31vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-0.78vs Predicted
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8Florida State University1.62-0.84vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90+0.19vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.60-3.17vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.80-1.66vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.99-3.02vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.48-2.55vs Predicted
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14Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-6.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31George Washington University1.869.7%1st Place
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6.96Tulane University2.218.5%1st Place
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5.68Georgetown University2.0111.7%1st Place
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7.28Old Dominion University1.597.0%1st Place
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6.32SUNY Maritime College1.888.3%1st Place
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6.31U. S. Naval Academy1.899.2%1st Place
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6.22University of California at Santa Barbara1.449.6%1st Place
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7.16Florida State University1.627.8%1st Place
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9.19St. Mary's College of Maryland0.904.3%1st Place
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6.83University of Pennsylvania1.607.8%1st Place
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9.34University of Vermont0.804.2%1st Place
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8.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.994.0%1st Place
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10.45Christopher Newport University0.482.7%1st Place
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7.97Palm Beach Atlantic University1.265.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Timms | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
| Daniel Hughes | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Spencer Barnes | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Cooper Walshe | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Ted McDonough | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Joey Meagher | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Max Kleha | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 14.2% |
| Samuel Gavula | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 16.9% |
| Thomas Walker | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.7% |
| David Grace | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 29.5% |
| Thomas Green | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.