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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College1.88+5.35vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.86+4.18vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.59+4.12vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90+5.18vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.21+2.09vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.60+0.97vs Predicted
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7Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26+0.92vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.99+1.02vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.01-3.14vs Predicted
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10Florida State University1.62-2.90vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.80-1.48vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.89-5.91vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-6.83vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.48-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35SUNY Maritime College1.889.6%1st Place
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6.18George Washington University1.8610.3%1st Place
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7.12Old Dominion University1.596.1%1st Place
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9.18St. Mary's College of Maryland0.903.9%1st Place
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7.09Tulane University2.218.0%1st Place
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6.97University of Pennsylvania1.609.1%1st Place
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7.92Palm Beach Atlantic University1.265.9%1st Place
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9.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.994.3%1st Place
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5.86Georgetown University2.0110.3%1st Place
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7.1Florida State University1.627.2%1st Place
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9.52University of Vermont0.803.5%1st Place
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6.09U. S. Naval Academy1.8910.1%1st Place
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6.17University of California at Santa Barbara1.449.8%1st Place
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10.44Christopher Newport University0.482.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Barnes | 9.6% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Owen Timms | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% |
| Max Kleha | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 13.9% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Samuel Gavula | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Thomas Green | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% |
| Thomas Walker | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 13.4% |
| Daniel Hughes | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Joey Meagher | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 16.9% |
| Cooper Walshe | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Ted McDonough | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| David Grace | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.