Race 1A

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Kenneth Corsig 5.9% 6.2% 6.5% 6.2% 6.4% 7.1% 7.1% 8.0% 8.0% 9.2% 8.0% 7.6% 6.7% 7.1%
Payne Donaldson 6.4% 5.8% 7.0% 7.1% 7.4% 8.1% 8.1% 7.5% 8.4% 8.3% 7.8% 7.5% 7.0% 3.6%
Lucia Loosbrock 3.3% 4.5% 4.5% 4.4% 5.6% 5.6% 6.7% 6.6% 7.2% 6.7% 10.7% 10.0% 11.5% 12.8%
Hayden Earl 16.0% 14.9% 13.2% 11.4% 10.2% 8.1% 7.0% 6.0% 4.7% 3.9% 2.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2%
Jack Derry 4.5% 5.3% 6.0% 3.8% 6.0% 6.0% 6.9% 8.0% 6.6% 9.2% 8.0% 9.3% 9.8% 10.5%
Kyle Pfrang 15.8% 14.5% 13.0% 11.6% 10.5% 8.9% 7.3% 6.1% 4.9% 3.1% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
John Majernik 6.0% 5.5% 5.9% 5.1% 5.7% 6.7% 7.3% 7.3% 8.1% 8.1% 8.2% 9.4% 9.1% 7.6%
Tanner Kelly 7.0% 7.4% 7.0% 8.4% 7.2% 7.9% 8.1% 8.8% 7.2% 8.2% 7.0% 6.9% 5.3% 3.4%
Michael Burns 5.4% 5.7% 5.8% 5.5% 7.7% 8.2% 8.8% 7.9% 8.8% 7.7% 8.5% 8.2% 7.0% 5.0%
Connell Phillipps 6.4% 7.3% 7.7% 8.2% 8.1% 7.4% 7.0% 7.0% 8.1% 8.5% 6.5% 6.5% 6.9% 4.5%
Trevor Davis 10.1% 10.0% 9.2% 11.6% 8.6% 9.2% 8.0% 7.6% 7.1% 6.6% 5.1% 3.4% 2.3% 1.2%
Madison Bashaw 6.9% 6.4% 6.9% 7.3% 7.4% 8.0% 7.8% 7.0% 8.4% 7.0% 8.3% 7.2% 5.9% 5.5%
Brooks Turcotte 2.6% 3.0% 3.1% 4.2% 4.2% 4.2% 4.5% 4.8% 6.3% 6.6% 8.1% 11.1% 14.9% 22.5%
Elliott Mendenhall 3.8% 3.5% 4.2% 5.1% 5.0% 4.7% 5.4% 7.3% 6.3% 7.1% 9.1% 10.2% 12.7% 15.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.