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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.95+6.97vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+3.83vs Predicted
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3Tufts University4.08+4.51vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+3.94vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+2.83vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.49+3.56vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University4.01+0.54vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.83+0.21vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.63-0.04vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.60-0.64vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.74-5.82vs Predicted
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12Washington College3.07-0.68vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.98-5.39vs Predicted
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14Stanford University4.05-6.87vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.28-1.59vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-4.44vs Predicted
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17Michigan State University0.22-0.15vs Predicted
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18Hampton University-0.35-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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5.83Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.51Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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7.83St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.56University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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7.54Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
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8.96University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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9.36SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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5.18Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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11.32Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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7.61Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.13Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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13.41University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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11.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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16.85Michigan State University0.220.0%1st Place
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17.23Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spector | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Harry Scott | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 15.3% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Colin Smith | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Jassin | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 13.3% | 32.5% | 10.2% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 17.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Colton Radenbaugh | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 48.0% | 37.7% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 30.8% | 60.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.