Race 2A

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Lucia Loosbrock 3.4% 4.6% 4.1% 4.8% 5.8% 6.6% 6.0% 6.7% 7.5% 7.4% 7.8% 11.2% 10.2% 13.9%
Payne Donaldson 6.7% 7.2% 7.2% 7.6% 8.0% 7.8% 8.6% 8.2% 7.6% 7.5% 7.4% 6.6% 5.8% 3.7%
Trevor Davis 10.8% 9.8% 9.5% 10.4% 10.2% 8.6% 8.0% 8.8% 6.0% 6.0% 4.7% 3.5% 2.5% 1.2%
Tanner Kelly 7.2% 7.0% 8.2% 7.0% 7.3% 8.2% 8.5% 7.8% 8.5% 7.6% 8.4% 6.3% 4.8% 2.9%
Hayden Earl 14.9% 14.8% 14.2% 12.2% 9.1% 7.8% 7.8% 6.2% 4.1% 3.9% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Jack Derry 3.8% 4.9% 5.2% 4.9% 5.8% 6.8% 5.9% 7.4% 8.5% 7.6% 8.5% 9.3% 10.2% 11.3%
Michael Burns 6.0% 6.7% 6.0% 6.4% 7.8% 6.7% 7.5% 8.5% 7.5% 8.6% 7.4% 7.6% 7.3% 6.0%
Kenneth Corsig 5.4% 5.3% 6.3% 5.6% 6.4% 7.1% 8.0% 7.1% 8.2% 8.8% 9.3% 8.1% 8.2% 6.2%
Kyle Pfrang 17.2% 14.7% 12.6% 11.2% 9.9% 8.8% 7.8% 5.9% 4.4% 3.2% 2.4% 1.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Madison Bashaw 6.3% 6.8% 6.5% 6.7% 7.1% 7.0% 8.1% 7.8% 8.2% 8.7% 8.2% 7.7% 6.1% 4.8%
John Majernik 5.1% 4.2% 6.2% 6.8% 7.0% 7.3% 6.4% 6.9% 8.2% 7.8% 8.8% 8.6% 9.7% 7.1%
Brooks Turcotte 3.4% 3.1% 3.1% 4.0% 3.7% 4.5% 4.4% 5.6% 6.3% 7.4% 8.5% 9.4% 14.1% 22.2%
Elliott Mendenhall 3.4% 4.6% 4.5% 5.1% 4.6% 5.1% 5.1% 5.5% 6.6% 7.5% 8.6% 11.4% 13.2% 14.8%
Connell Phillipps 6.5% 6.4% 6.2% 7.2% 7.3% 7.4% 7.9% 7.7% 8.4% 7.9% 7.6% 7.5% 6.5% 5.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.