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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.74+4.22vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+6.27vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+5.12vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.95+3.66vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.60+4.02vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.98+1.71vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.49+2.48vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.55-2.38vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University4.01-1.46vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.83-1.51vs Predicted
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11Washington College3.07+0.16vs Predicted
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12Stanford University4.05-4.27vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.63-4.16vs Predicted
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14Tufts University4.08-6.95vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.28-1.55vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-4.45vs Predicted
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17Michigan State University0.22-0.14vs Predicted
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18Hampton University-0.35-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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8.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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8.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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7.66College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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9.02SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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7.71Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.48University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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5.62Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.54Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
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11.16Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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7.73Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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8.84University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.05Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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13.45University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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11.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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16.86Michigan State University0.220.0%1st Place
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17.21Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 13.1% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Spector | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Colin Smith | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Graham Landy | 12.1% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Laube | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Jassin | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 33.8% | 10.3% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Colton Radenbaugh | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 6.5% | 47.7% | 37.7% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 30.7% | 60.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.