Race 3A

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Trevor Davis 10.5% 10.2% 10.9% 9.8% 9.4% 9.3% 8.3% 7.7% 5.8% 6.5% 4.1% 4.0% 2.0% 1.4%
Payne Donaldson 7.5% 7.8% 6.8% 8.0% 8.4% 8.1% 7.0% 7.4% 7.3% 7.6% 7.3% 6.8% 6.3% 3.5%
Michael Burns 6.2% 6.0% 6.0% 7.5% 7.4% 8.0% 8.3% 7.9% 7.3% 6.9% 8.4% 8.2% 6.3% 5.6%
Connell Phillipps 6.5% 6.9% 6.7% 8.1% 7.3% 7.8% 7.8% 7.1% 8.3% 6.7% 8.1% 7.1% 7.0% 4.7%
John Majernik 4.9% 5.5% 5.6% 4.7% 6.6% 6.5% 6.2% 6.9% 9.2% 8.5% 8.5% 9.2% 8.8% 8.8%
Kyle Pfrang 14.8% 15.8% 12.7% 10.3% 10.5% 9.8% 7.3% 5.9% 4.5% 3.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4%
Kenneth Corsig 5.1% 5.1% 5.8% 6.1% 6.8% 7.5% 7.5% 7.1% 7.4% 8.6% 9.3% 9.0% 7.8% 6.8%
Madison Bashaw 6.5% 6.9% 6.2% 6.9% 7.1% 7.0% 8.1% 7.6% 8.2% 9.2% 7.7% 7.8% 6.5% 4.3%
Brooks Turcotte 2.1% 3.1% 3.6% 4.0% 3.4% 4.2% 4.8% 5.1% 6.6% 7.5% 8.6% 9.6% 14.1% 23.4%
Tanner Kelly 6.7% 6.9% 8.3% 8.2% 7.2% 8.2% 9.2% 8.8% 7.1% 8.0% 7.3% 6.1% 5.1% 2.9%
Jack Derry 5.0% 4.7% 5.1% 5.3% 5.9% 5.9% 6.3% 6.9% 8.2% 8.6% 8.7% 9.0% 10.6% 10.0%
Hayden Earl 16.4% 13.7% 13.4% 10.7% 9.7% 7.3% 7.8% 7.0% 5.2% 3.2% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3%
Elliott Mendenhall 4.3% 3.5% 4.2% 5.1% 4.8% 5.0% 5.9% 7.1% 7.8% 7.4% 8.7% 9.6% 12.2% 14.4%
Lucia Loosbrock 3.5% 3.9% 4.7% 5.5% 5.2% 5.5% 5.2% 7.6% 7.0% 7.9% 7.8% 10.9% 11.8% 13.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.