Race 4A

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Hayden Earl 14.7% 13.8% 12.8% 12.1% 10.3% 8.8% 7.6% 6.2% 5.1% 4.0% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Kyle Pfrang 15.5% 13.8% 13.4% 11.8% 11.4% 7.8% 7.5% 5.5% 4.7% 3.8% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Michael Burns 5.5% 5.2% 6.9% 6.9% 7.3% 7.0% 7.4% 8.9% 7.6% 8.2% 7.7% 8.6% 7.4% 5.3%
Trevor Davis 11.8% 11.2% 9.8% 8.5% 9.7% 8.8% 7.6% 8.1% 7.5% 5.4% 5.0% 4.2% 2.0% 0.5%
Kenneth Corsig 4.8% 5.8% 6.0% 6.0% 6.7% 8.2% 8.0% 8.0% 8.5% 8.7% 7.5% 8.6% 6.9% 6.3%
Payne Donaldson 7.0% 8.0% 8.0% 7.3% 6.8% 7.6% 8.1% 7.0% 6.7% 8.7% 8.3% 6.6% 5.9% 4.1%
John Majernik 5.5% 6.1% 5.5% 6.0% 5.1% 7.2% 7.2% 7.0% 7.3% 7.5% 8.9% 8.8% 9.6% 8.2%
Jack Derry 5.1% 5.5% 5.2% 5.3% 5.1% 6.0% 7.0% 6.5% 7.1% 8.3% 8.8% 9.4% 10.2% 10.3%
Madison Bashaw 6.3% 5.4% 6.6% 7.4% 6.2% 8.6% 7.8% 8.4% 8.9% 8.3% 6.3% 7.9% 6.9% 5.0%
Lucia Loosbrock 4.2% 3.8% 4.2% 4.9% 4.8% 5.7% 6.6% 6.8% 6.9% 7.1% 9.4% 10.1% 11.2% 14.4%
Brooks Turcotte 2.2% 2.8% 3.0% 4.0% 4.3% 4.7% 4.7% 5.5% 5.9% 6.6% 8.5% 9.3% 14.6% 23.8%
Tanner Kelly 7.9% 7.2% 8.2% 8.2% 8.6% 8.2% 8.0% 7.9% 7.8% 6.7% 7.6% 6.9% 4.2% 2.9%
Connell Phillipps 5.9% 7.0% 5.9% 7.3% 8.0% 7.0% 7.4% 7.5% 8.4% 9.0% 8.2% 7.0% 7.2% 4.1%
Elliott Mendenhall 3.7% 4.3% 4.4% 4.4% 5.5% 4.4% 5.1% 6.6% 7.4% 7.7% 9.0% 9.8% 12.7% 14.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.