Race 5A

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Payne Donaldson 6.9% 6.7% 7.0% 7.2% 7.8% 8.1% 8.8% 8.8% 8.2% 8.3% 6.5% 6.5% 5.6% 3.8%
Kyle Pfrang 16.1% 15.7% 12.4% 10.8% 10.5% 8.3% 7.7% 6.6% 4.2% 3.7% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1%
John Majernik 4.5% 6.1% 6.8% 6.2% 6.3% 6.6% 7.1% 6.9% 7.3% 8.9% 9.3% 7.4% 9.4% 7.1%
Hayden Earl 15.2% 12.8% 12.3% 12.0% 10.1% 8.3% 8.3% 7.0% 4.7% 3.5% 2.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
Kenneth Corsig 6.5% 6.1% 6.2% 5.7% 6.6% 7.0% 6.8% 7.6% 9.6% 8.8% 7.9% 8.4% 6.9% 6.1%
Madison Bashaw 5.0% 6.3% 5.8% 7.9% 7.6% 8.1% 7.1% 8.0% 7.7% 7.8% 7.4% 8.2% 7.4% 5.7%
Trevor Davis 10.8% 9.9% 10.4% 10.3% 9.7% 9.4% 7.8% 7.0% 7.2% 5.3% 6.0% 3.3% 1.8% 0.9%
Jack Derry 4.2% 5.2% 5.0% 4.8% 5.5% 6.8% 5.5% 6.9% 7.6% 8.4% 9.4% 9.8% 10.2% 10.7%
Michael Burns 6.8% 7.0% 7.0% 5.9% 7.2% 7.4% 8.6% 8.2% 7.2% 6.7% 8.8% 7.7% 6.7% 5.0%
Brooks Turcotte 2.6% 2.9% 3.8% 3.5% 4.0% 4.3% 4.3% 5.7% 6.2% 7.0% 7.5% 10.2% 14.4% 23.4%
Connell Phillipps 7.0% 6.6% 7.0% 7.4% 7.6% 7.0% 8.0% 7.8% 7.3% 8.3% 7.6% 7.2% 6.8% 4.5%
Tanner Kelly 7.3% 7.6% 7.8% 9.2% 7.9% 7.8% 7.4% 8.2% 7.8% 6.8% 7.8% 6.6% 5.0% 2.8%
Lucia Loosbrock 3.8% 3.9% 4.5% 4.2% 4.2% 5.1% 6.1% 6.0% 7.2% 9.2% 9.4% 10.9% 11.6% 13.8%
Elliott Mendenhall 3.5% 3.1% 4.2% 4.8% 5.0% 5.9% 6.6% 5.5% 7.7% 7.1% 7.9% 10.2% 12.8% 15.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.