Race 6A

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Payne Donaldson 6.1% 8.0% 8.1% 7.1% 7.1% 8.8% 7.1% 8.1% 6.8% 8.6% 7.4% 7.0% 5.8% 4.0%
John Majernik 5.5% 5.1% 5.8% 7.2% 5.5% 6.5% 6.5% 7.0% 7.7% 9.3% 8.9% 10.3% 7.9% 6.9%
Brooks Turcotte 3.7% 3.3% 2.9% 3.5% 3.8% 4.5% 4.2% 5.5% 6.3% 6.4% 8.6% 10.8% 13.1% 23.5%
Kenneth Corsig 5.8% 6.1% 7.3% 7.3% 7.3% 7.0% 7.9% 6.8% 8.1% 7.2% 7.7% 8.1% 7.1% 6.3%
Hayden Earl 15.6% 13.8% 12.7% 12.0% 9.4% 9.5% 7.9% 6.2% 4.2% 3.2% 3.0% 1.2% 0.9% 0.2%
Michael Burns 5.5% 6.1% 7.0% 6.6% 6.7% 7.8% 6.5% 8.6% 7.6% 8.8% 7.5% 8.1% 7.7% 5.6%
Elliott Mendenhall 3.6% 4.2% 4.1% 4.7% 4.8% 6.2% 5.7% 6.7% 5.9% 8.4% 8.5% 10.2% 12.2% 14.9%
Madison Bashaw 6.0% 6.5% 6.3% 6.1% 8.0% 7.1% 7.7% 8.6% 9.2% 8.2% 8.3% 6.3% 6.9% 4.8%
Jack Derry 4.7% 3.9% 4.8% 4.8% 5.6% 5.7% 7.2% 6.3% 8.6% 7.6% 9.3% 9.8% 10.4% 11.3%
Kyle Pfrang 15.3% 14.3% 11.6% 12.3% 10.5% 8.8% 8.6% 6.0% 4.5% 3.4% 2.4% 1.0% 1.1% 0.2%
Tanner Kelly 8.0% 8.0% 7.6% 7.6% 8.6% 7.3% 8.8% 7.4% 8.3% 7.4% 6.7% 6.3% 5.0% 2.9%
Connell Phillipps 5.5% 6.2% 6.4% 6.9% 7.8% 7.1% 7.5% 8.6% 8.9% 7.9% 8.6% 8.0% 6.5% 4.1%
Trevor Davis 10.8% 10.3% 11.6% 9.5% 10.0% 8.4% 7.5% 8.0% 6.7% 5.9% 4.7% 3.2% 2.6% 0.8%
Lucia Loosbrock 3.8% 4.3% 3.9% 4.4% 5.0% 5.2% 6.9% 6.3% 7.2% 7.6% 8.3% 9.7% 12.9% 14.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.