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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.40+5.87vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+5.04vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+3.60vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.83+2.06vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+5.25vs Predicted
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6Stanford University1.82+0.35vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.41-2.50vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University1.81-1.67vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.95+0.83vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.99-0.65vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.82-1.26vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.98-1.71vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University2.27-8.22vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-0.59-0.29vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-0.40-1.78vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87University of Southern California1.408.2%1st Place
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7.04University of California at Santa Barbara1.677.0%1st Place
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6.6California Poly Maritime Academy1.929.4%1st Place
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6.06University of Washington1.838.8%1st Place
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10.25University of California at Santa Cruz0.912.2%1st Place
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6.35Stanford University1.829.4%1st Place
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4.5University of Hawaii2.4116.4%1st Place
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6.33Western Washington University1.818.2%1st Place
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9.83University of California at San Diego0.952.9%1st Place
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9.35Arizona State University0.993.7%1st Place
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9.74California State University Channel Islands0.823.5%1st Place
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10.29University of California at Berkeley0.983.1%1st Place
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4.78San Diego State University2.2713.7%1st Place
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13.71Santa Clara University-0.590.4%1st Place
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13.22University of Oregon-0.401.0%1st Place
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11.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.351.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Harris | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Henry Boeger | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Stone | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Colin Olson | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 4.8% |
| Dylan Sih | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Erik Anderson | 16.4% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leif Hauge | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Juan Casal | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Sterling Maggard | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 5.0% |
| Noah Nyenhuis | 13.7% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Trudell | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 20.4% | 40.3% |
| Rowan Clinch | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 20.5% | 32.4% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.