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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin4.10+0.45vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University2.37+1.34vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.20+4.93vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-0.25+4.92vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.69+1.78vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.31-0.62vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois0.54+0.04vs Predicted
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8University of Saint Thomas1.41-2.90vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University1.25-4.61vs Predicted
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11Marquette University0.56-3.94vs Predicted
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12Denison University-1.36-1.13vs Predicted
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13University of Chicago-0.15-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.45University of Wisconsin4.100.7%1st Place
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3.34Northwestern University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.93University of Minnesota0.200.0%1st Place
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8.92University of Notre Dame-0.250.0%1st Place
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6.78Ohio State University0.690.0%1st Place
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5.38University of Michigan1.310.0%1st Place
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7.04University of Illinois0.540.0%1st Place
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5.1University of Saint Thomas1.410.0%1st Place
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5.39Western Michigan University1.250.0%1st Place
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7.06Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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10.87Denison University-1.360.0%1st Place
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8.74University of Chicago-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 67.1% | 23.9% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 11.4% | 25.9% | 21.5% | 18.4% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Lund | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 5.0% |
| John O'Brien | 0.6% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 20.7% | 14.6% |
| Anthony Julian | 2.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 1.7% |
| Sammy Barbour | 4.2% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Megan Dawson | 2.0% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Brandon Wilson | 4.0% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Trost | 3.8% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Steven Catlin | 1.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 2.7% |
| Blair Cathcart | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 7.8% | 15.5% | 61.4% |
| Miles Lubin | 0.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 23.5% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.